Proposed Rulemaking on Ozone Transport Commission; Emission Vehicle Program for the Northeast Ozone Transport Region |
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Carol M. Browner
Environmental Protection Agency
April 26, 1994
[Federal Register Volume 59, Number 80 (Tuesday, April 26, 1994)] [Unknown Section] [Page 0] From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov] [FR Doc No: 94-10042] [[Page Unknown]] [Federal Register: April 26, 1994] ======================================================================= ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY 40 CFR Part 51 [FRL-4878-3] Proposed Rulemaking on Ozone Transport Commission; Emission Vehicle Program for the Northeast Ozone Transport Region AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). ACTION: Notice of Proposed Rulemaking. ----------------------------------------------------------------------- SUMMARY: On February 10, 1994, the Northeast Ozone Transport Commission (OTC) submitted a recommendation to EPA under section 184 of the Clean Air Act (the Act), for additional control measures to be applied throughout the Northeast Ozone Transport Region (OTR). Specifically, the OTC recommended that EPA require all State members of the OTC to adopt an Ozone Transport Commission Low Emission Vehicle (OTC LEV or LEV) program for the entire OTR. The OTC's recommendation, developed after notice-and-comment pursuant to section 184(c)(1), is published here as an appendix to this document. Under section 184(c)(3), EPA is to review the OTC's recommendation to determine whether the additional control measures are necessary to bring any area in the OTR into attainment by the dates specified in the Act, and are otherwise consistent with the Act. Based on this review, EPA is obligated to determine whether to approve, disapprove, or partially approve and partially disapprove the OTC's recommendation. If EPA disapproves or partially disapproves the OTC recommendation, it is to explain why the recommended measures are not necessary or are not otherwise consistent with the Act, and to specify additional control measures that would be equally effective. Upon EPA approval or partial approval of the OTC recommendation, EPA is to make a finding that the relevant States' State Implementation Plans (SIPs) are inadequate under section 110(a)(2)(D) of the Act (relating to contribution to nonattainment in downwind States), and those States are to submit a SIP revision within one year of the finding adopting the approved control measures. This notice describes the framework for EPA's action on the OTC's recommendation and describes the issues EPA is considering in deciding whether to approve, disapprove, or partially approve and partially disapprove the recommendation. DATES: EPA will be holding a public hearing on the OTC recommendation on Monday, May 2, 1994 from 1 p.m. to 4:30 p.m. (EDT) and on Tuesday, May 3, 1994 from 9 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. (EDT). The comment period will remain open until June 3, 1994. Please direct all correspondence to the addresses shown below. ADDRESSES: The hearings will be held at the Fifth Floor Auditorium, Connecticut Department of Environmental Protection Building, 79 Elm Street, Hartford, Connecticut 06106. Written comments should be submitted (in duplicate if possible) to the Air Docket (see address below). Copies of information relevant to this matter are available for inspection in public docket A-94-11 at the Air Docket (LE-131) of the EPA, room M-1500, 401 M Street SW., Washington, DC 20460, (202) 260- 7548, between the hours of 8 a.m. to 12 p.m. and 1 p.m. to 5 p.m. on Monday through Friday. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Mike Shields, Office of Mobile Sources, U.S. EPA, 401 M Street, SW., Washington, DC 20460, telephone: (202) 260-3450. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: I. Background A. Overview of Title I Scheme The OTC's recommendation under section 184(c) of the Act that EPA mandate that States in the OTR adopt the LEV program arises in the context of the program designed to address ozone (or ``smog'') pollution in subpart II of part D of title I of the Act. This program is described in detail in EPA's General Preamble for the Implementation of Title I of the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990, 57 FR 13498 (April 16, 1992), and the Nitrogen Oxides Supplement to the General Preamble, 57 FR 55620 (Nov. 25, 1992). A number of provisions in subpart 2 and elsewhere in the Act are particularly important to emphasize here. Part D establishes a scheme for more polluted areas to have more time to attain the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS), and subjects those more polluted areas to a graduated program of additional and more stringent specific control requirements to be accomplished over the longer time-frame. Section 181(a) provides for classification of ozone nonattainment areas based on the degree of the nonattainment problem in the area (as measured by the area's ozone design value), and provides that attainment ``shall be as expeditiously as practicable but not later than'' specified deadlines expressed as years after enactment. The areas, and the corresponding attainment deadlines are: Marginal (1993); Moderate (1996); Serious (1999); Severe (2005 or 2007, depending on the design value); and Extreme (2010). The Act also provides for additional ``unclassifiable/no data'' nonattainment areas. All classifications other than Extreme are represented in the OTR. Section 184(b) also specifies additional requirements applicable for attainment areas in ozone transport regions, including: (1) Enhanced vehicle inspection and maintenance programs in cities meeting specified size thresholds; (2) state-wide implementation of reasonably available control measures (RACT); (3) ``Stage II'' vehicle refueling vapor controls or ``comparable measures''; and (4) treatment of major stationary sources of ozone precursors as if they were in moderate nonattainment areas. Section 182 establishes the graduated control measures applicable for each nonattainment classification. These measures are additive in that the higher classifications must generally adopt, in addition to measures specifically applicable to that higher classification, all measures identified for lower classifications as well. A basic requirement applicable to Marginal and above classifications is that States are to submit inventories of actual emissions from all sources in each nonattainment area. See sections 182(a)(1) and 172(c)(3). These emissions inventories may be important in determining whether the LEV program is necessary in the OTR. For example, the inventories may be important to determining the magnitude of emissions reductions that may be needed for attainment, and the effectiveness of various measures to obtain such reductions. Another potentially key requirement is that Moderate and above areas must submit attainment demonstrations. Under section 182(b)(1)(A), for Moderate and above areas States are to specify in their plans specific annual reductions in emissions ``as necessary to attain the [NAAQS] for ozone by the attainment date applicable under this Act.'' Under section 182(c)(2)(A), for Serious and above areas States are to submit a demonstration that the State Implementation Plan (SIP), ``as revised, will provide for attainment of the ozone [NAAQS] by the applicable attainment date.'' Further, this provision continues, ``[t]his attainment demonstration must be based on photochemical grid modeling or any other analytical method determined by the Administrator, in the Administrator's discretion, to be at least as effective.'' These requirements provide the motivation for the OTC's recommendation; as additional measures may be necessary for the States to demonstrate that their SIPs will achieve timely attainment. The modeling information is, of course, important to determining what reductions are necessary in what areas for attainment in the OTR. It is also relevant that States are obligated to adopt various measures specified for progress toward attainment, and to achieve certain percentage reductions in emissions by interim dates. In general, section 172(c)(2) requires that SIPs ``require reasonable further progress'' (RFP), defined in section 171(1) to mean ``such annual incremental reductions in emissions of the relevant air pollutant as are required by this part or may reasonably be required by the Administrator for the purpose of ensuring attainment of the [NAAQS] by the applicable date.'' More specifically, section 182(b) provides that for Moderate and above areas States were to submit, by November 15, 1993, SIP revisions providing for a 15% reduction in emissions of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) from a 1990 baseline to be achieved by 1996. Further, section 182(c)(2)(B) provides that for Serious and above areas States are to submit, by November 15, 1994, SIP revisions that will result, subject to a limited feasibility exception, in additional reductions in VOC emissions from the 1990 baseline of 3% each year averaged over consecutive 3-year periods beginning in 1996 and until the attainment date. Section 182(c)(2)(C) provides for substitution of reductions in emissions of nitrogen oxides (NOX) for VOC, in accordance with EPA guidance. These RFP requirements establish minimum reductions that certain nonattainment areas in the OTR will be required to achieve apart from whether EPA approves or disapproves the recommendation. Finally, section 110 of the Act establishes general requirements for SIPs. Section 110(a)(2) specifies minimum elements of a State's SIP, and subparagraph (D) specifies that a State's SIP shall contain adequate provisions prohibiting, consistent with the provisions of this title, any source or other type of emissions activity within the State from emitting any air pollutant in amounts which will contribute significantly to nonattainment in, or interfere with maintenance by, any other State with respect to any such national primary or secondary ambient air quality standard. This provision, as discussed in detail below, is the key mechanism under the transport provisions of sections 176A and 184, and is central to the OTC recommendation and to EPA's action on it. B. Ozone Transport Region Provisions The OTR was established by operation of law under section 184 of the Act and is comprised of the States of Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Massachusetts, Maryland, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont, the District of Columbia, and the portion of Virginia that is within the Consolidated Metropolitan Statistical Area that includes the District of Columbia. Congress established the OTR in the 1990 Amendments to the Act based on the recognition that the transport of ozone and ozone precursors throughout the region may render the Northeast States' attainment strategies interdependent. Under section 184, the Administrator established a Northeast Ozone Transport Commission for the OTR consisting of the Governor of each State or their designees, the Administrator or her designee, the Regional Administrators for the EPA regional offices affected (or the Administrator's designees), and an air pollution control official representing each State in the region, appointed by the Governor. Section 184(c) specifies a procedure for the OTC to develop recommendations for additional control measures to be applied within all or a part of the OTR if the OTC determines that such measures are necessary to bring any area in the OTR into attainment for ozone by the applicable dates in the Act. Section 184(c)(1) provides that Upon petition of any States within a transport region for ozone, and based on a majority vote of the Governors on the Commission (or their designees), the Commission may, after notice and opportunity for public comment, develop recommendations for additional control measures to be applied within all or a part of such transport region if the commission determines such measures are necessary to bring any area in such region into attainment by the dates provided by [subpart II of part D of title I of the Clean Air Act]. Section 184(c) also lays out procedures the Administrator is to follow in responding to recommendations from the OTC. Upon receipt of the recommendations, the Administrator is to publish a Federal Register notice stating that the recommendations are available and providing an opportunity for a public hearing within 90 days. On March 18, 1994, EPA published a notice announcing receipt of the OTC recommendation, 59 FR 12914. EPA further announced on April 8, 1994 that a public hearing would be held in Hartford, Connecticut on May 2-3, 1994, 59 FR 16811 (April 8, 1994). The Administrator is also to ``commence a review of the recommendations to determine whether the control measures in the recommendations are necessary to bring any area in such region into attainment by the dates provided by [subpart II] and are otherwise consistent with [the] Act.'' Finally, in undertaking her review, the Administrator is to consult with members of the OTC and is to take into account the data, views, and comments received pursuant to the public hearing. Last, sections 184(c) (4) and (5) govern EPA's response to the OTC recommendations. The Administrator is to determine whether to approve, disapprove, or partially approve and partially disapprove the recommendations within nine months of receipt. For any disapproval, the Administrator is to specify: (i) Why any disapproved additional control measures are not necessary to bring any area in such region into attainment by the dates provided by [subpart II] or are otherwise not consistent with the Act; and (ii) Recommendations concerning equal or more effective actions that could be taken by the commission to conform the disapproved portion of the recommendations to the requirements of [section 184]. Section 184(c)(5) provides that, upon approval or partial approval of any recommendations, the Administrator is to issue to each State in the OTR to which an approved requirement applies a finding under section 110(k)(5) that the SIP for that State is inadequate to meet the requirements of section 110(a)(2)(D), quoted above. Under section 184(c)(5), the Administrator's finding of inadequacy under section 110(a)(2)(D) is to require that each affected State revise its SIP to include the approved additional control measures within one year after the finding is issued. Finally, section 184(d) provides that, for purposes of section 184, the Administrator is to ``promulgate criteria for purposes of determining the contribution of sources in one area to concentrations of ozone'' in another nonattainment area. These criteria are to ``require that the best available air quality monitoring and modeling techniques be used for purposes of making such determinations.'' C. Background Regarding OTC LEV Program The Administrator convened the OTC on May 7, 1991. Thereafter, the OTC moved to work toward a regional ozone strategy with emphasis on consensus agreements to adopt regional measures to address the ozone problem in the Northeast. To address the contribution of motor vehicles to the Northeast ozone problem, the OTC focussed early on emissions standards for new motor vehicles and on adoption of federal reformulated gasoline throughout the OTR as potential additional control measures. The Act, however, imposes certain limitations on the States' ability to adopt new motor vehicle emissions standards. Section 209 of the Act generally preempts States from establishing new motor vehicle emissions standards, leaving such regulation to EPA under section 202 of the Act. Section 209 does, however, provide an exception for California to adopt new motor vehicle emissions standards where the Administrator grants a preemption waiver based on a finding that California's standards will be, ``in the aggregate, at least as protective of public health and welfare as applicable Federal standards.'' Further, under section 177 of the Act, any State which has SIP provisions approved under part D of title I may adopt and enforce new motor vehicle emission standards for any model year if: (1) Such standards are identical to the California standards for which a waiver has been granted for such model year, and (2) California and such State adopt such standards at least two years before commencement of such model year (as determined by regulations of the Administrator). EPA has granted a waiver for California's ``Low Emission Vehicle'' program (See 58 FR 4166 (Jan. 13, 1993)(announcing availability of Waiver of Federal Preemption; California Low- Emission Vehicle Standards (Jan. 8, 1993)). This program generally calls for five categories of vehicles meeting progressively more stringent emissions standards: California Tier I vehicles; Transitional Low Emission Vehicles (TLEV); Low Emission Vehicles (LEV); Ultra-Low Emission Vehicles (ULEV); and Zero Emission Vehicles (ZEV). California has also established an overall non-methane organic gas (NMOG) standard that each manufacturer must meet for its fleet of new vehicles in a particular model year by selling any combination of vehicles certified by California as meeting standards for one of the five categories. In addition, under California's program, at least 2% of each manufacturers' new vehicle fleet sold in California must be ZEV's by 1998, and 10% by 2003.\1\ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- \1\In EPA's waiver decision regarding California's LEV program, the EPA Administrator stated, ``Based on EPA's review of this record, I find reasonable and so adopt California's finding that there is adequate leadtime to permit the development of technology necessary to meet those standards giving appropriate consideration to the cost of compliance within the required time frame.'' Waiver of Federal Preemption; California Low-Emission Vehicle Standards at 69 (Jan. 8, 1993). --------------------------------------------------------------------------- At its second meeting on July 16, 1991, the OTC adopted a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) in which the State and District of Columbia representatives agreed that, in view of the significant contribution of motor vehicles to the Northeast ozone problem, they all support California's Motor Vehicle Control Program, and call on their jurisdictions to cooperatively evaluate the feasibility, air quality benefits, and associated costs of this Program in the OTR. At its third meeting on October 29, 1991, the OTC States agreed to a further MOU providing that each OTC state would take steps to implement California's Low Emission Vehicle program as soon as possible. New York and Massachusetts are the only States that have fully adopted the California LEV program in legislation and regulations without contingencies, and both States are set to implement their programs. The automobile manufacturers' have challenged the legality of both programs and both lawsuits are ongoing. Other States have adopted or are adopting the program contingent on regional program adoption, and the remaining States are at various stages of the legislative or regulatory process to adopt the program. In August 1993, Maine, Maryland, and Massachusetts petitioned the OTC to adopt a recommendation calling for the application of the California LEV program throughout the OTR. During the fall of 1993, the OTC held a number of public forums in various locations in the Northeast, and held a public hearing in Hartford, Connecticut on December 16-17, 1993. Finally, at its winter meeting on February 1, 1994 in Washington, D.C., the OTC voted by a 9 to 4 majority to recommend that EPA mandate the California LEV program throughout the OTR. (The OTC refers to the program they recommend as ``OTC LEV.'') New Hampshire, Virginia, Delaware, and New Jersey voted against the recommendation. The OTC's recommendation contains the following elements: (1) The OTC LEV program would be applicable to all 1999 and subsequent model year passenger cars and light duty trucks in the OTR; (2) Subject to certain very limited exceptions, all vehicles sold, imported, delivered, purchased, leased, rented, acquired, received, or registered in the OTR that are subject to the OTC LEV program must be certified pursuant to a California Air Resources Board (CARB) Executive Order; (3) The OTC LEV program would allow the sale of the five categories of California vehicles: California Tier I, TLEV, LEV, ULEV, and ZEV; (4) Manufacturers could choose any combination of California certified vehicles to meet average NMOG fleet emission standards in the OTR as follows: 1999--0.113 g/mi 2000--0.073 g/mi 2001--0.070 g/mi 2002--0.068 g/mi 2003 and later--0.062 g/mi Regarding California's ZEV sales mandate, the OTC recommends that, to the extent it must apply to satisfy section 177, it shall apply. But if it is not required under section 177, the OTC recommends that the ``individual States within the OTC may at their option include such a requirement and/or economic incentives designed to increase the sales of ZEVs in the programs they adopt.'' (5) The effective date for the OTC LEV program would be January 1, 1996, allowing two vehicle model years prior to applicability of the standards in 1999, but does not preclude earlier State implementation. D. Legislative History of Section 184 The OTC provisions originated in Congress in the House bill as introduced. That bill, as introduced, established an ozone transport region for the Northeast, and incorporated the procedures specified for general transport regions under what was finally enacted as section 176A of the Act. That provision in the House bill did not involve a plan for specific additional control measures. See H.R. 3030 at 92-93 and 49 (July 27, 1989), reprinted in 2 1990 Legislative History of the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990, 103rd Cong., 1st. sess. (Nov. 1993) (hereinafter ``1990 Legislative History'') at 3828-29 and 3785. The House committee then marked-up H.R. 3030 to include the provisions as finally enacted. See H.R. Rep't No. 101-490, part 1, 101st Cong., 2d Sess. at 527-28 (May 17, 1989), reprinted in 2 1990 Legislative History at 3551-52. It described the bill as establishing ``a public procedure and structure'' for an OTC to transmit recommendations to EPA and explained that EPA's response ``should be buttressed by supporting material.'' It further stated, ``The Committee expects that the Administrator's review of additional control measures recommended by an ozone transport commission will fully acknowledge and respond to the dimensions of the transport problems addressed by the commission's recommendations.'' The report also set out the timetable for EPA's response within nine months, and for EPA to issue a finding of SIP inadequacy ``[u]pon full or partial approval'' followed by States' SIP revisions within one year. H.R. Rep't. No. 101-490 at 256, reprinted in 2 1990 Legislative History at 3280. The Senate bill, in contrast, as introduced provided that the commission could, without any independent EPA review or approval, ``after notice and opportunity for comment, require additional control measures to be applied within such transport region if the commission determines such measures are necessary to bring all areas in such region into attainment by the dates provided by this subpart.'' See S. 1630, 101st Cong., 1st Sess. (Sept. 4, 1989), reprinted in 5 1990 Legislative History at 9111. The Senate bill, as introduced, was amended in committee to provide for EPA review of an OTC ``plan'' for additional control measures. Under the Senate committee mark-up, the OTC could, after notice and comment, develop a plan for additional control measures for the OTR, and would then transmit the plan to EPA for review. The committee then included the general framework for EPA review that survives in section 184 as enacted, including EPA's obligation to explain any disapproval and recommend alternatives. The bill differed from the statute as enacted, however, in that: (1) EPA was obligated to state in the Federal Register notice upon receipt of the plan that ``written data, views, or comments on the plan may be submitted to the Administrator within ninety days beginning on the receipt date'' but was not obligated to conduct a public hearing; (2) EPA's period to determine whether to approve the plan was 120 days, rather than nine months; and (3) the bill provided that the plan would be deemed approved if the Administrator failed to act within 120 days. The Senate committee mark- up also included the mechanism for implementation whereby EPA would issue a finding that the States' plans were inadequate, and that the finding would require the States to revise their SIPs to include the approved additional control measures within one year after the finding is issued. See S. Rep. No. 101-228, 101st Cong., 1st Sess., at 34 and 610-11 (Dec. 20, 1989), reprinted in 5 1990 Legislative History at 8950-51. This version was reported out of committee to the full Senate. See S. 1630 (Dec. 20, 1989), reprinted in 5 1990 Legislative History at 7986-7988. In the Senate debate on the Senate bill, Senator Lieberman explained these developments. He explained that President Bush's bill\2\ would have left the final decision about imposing additional controls to EPA. But Senator Lieberman explained that this was ``unacceptable'' because EPA's lack of support for past regional efforts to adopt controls was in part responsible for their failure. Senator Lieberman went on to explain that concerns were raised to the committee that the commission was being given ``too much authority'' because it would have ``ultimate authority to impose additional controls on sources of emissions in the separate States.'' Lieberman emphasized the importance of taking from EPA the responsibility for recommending baseline regional controls. He went on to explain that, under the bill. \2\President Bush's bill was H.R. 3030, as introduced. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Final authority to disapprove additional measures actually rests with EPA. However, EPA bears the burden, as clearly stated in the bill, of demonstrating that the additional control measure is not necessary to bring any area of the region into attainment by the dates provided. In making their decision, EPA must not place unfair burdens on the recipient State. See Senate Debate on S. 1630 (Jan. 31, 1990), reprinted in 4 1990 Legislative History at 5077 (statement of Sen. Lieberman). As noted, the conference adopted the House version. The debates on the conference bill focused primarily on the importance of the transport provisions to address a significant problem. In the Senate Debate on the conference bill, Senator Lieberman again explained EPA's responsibilities in responding to an OTC recommendation: The Administrator has the final authority to disapprove additional measures recommended by the Commission. However, EPA bears a heavy burden of demonstrating that the additional control measure(s) is not necessary to bring any area of the region into attainment by the dates provided and to recommend equal or more effective actions that could be taken by the Commission to conform the disapproved portion of the recommendations. Any recommendations by EPA under this section designed to replace the recommendations of the Commission shall not place an unfair burden on any state which is the victim of the transported air pollution. Equal or more effective actions recommended by the EPA shall mean actions which achieve equivalent progress towards attainment of the standard, given full consideration of the impact of transported air pollution. Senate Debate (Oct. 27, 1990), 1 1990 Legislative History at 1053 (Statement of Senator Lieberman). Also in the Senate Debate on the Conference bill, Senator Baucus inserted a detailed explanation of the bill, known as the Baucus-Chafee Statement of Senate Managers. See 1 1990 Legislative History at 1000 and 1045. The Statement of Senate Managers reiterated Senator Lieberman's points, using his exact language quoted above to describe EPA's role in responding to an OTC recommendation, including the emphasis on EPA's ``heavy burden'' to disapprove. 1 1990 Legislative History at 1004. II. Applicability of Rulemaking Procedure Section 184(c) establishes a specific notice-and-comment procedure both for OTC development of and EPA action to approve or disapprove recommendations for additional control measures in the OTR. These procedures are compatible with, but not necessarily identical to, the procedures the Agency must follow to issue a rule. The statute is silent as to whether EPA can take final action on the OTC recommendation without complying with notice-and-comment rulemaking procedures. EPA does not believe that rulemaking procedures are necessary if EPA disapproves the OTC recommendation because such an action would not have a binding future effect on any regulated parties. It is less clear whether rulemaking procedures are necessary for approval or partial approval of the OTC recommendation. Regardless of whether rulemaking procedures are required, EPA recognizes the importance of public participation in its decision- making process. The procedures required by section 307(d) of the Clean Air Act are an excellent vehicle for ensuring an open, public process. Among other things, they require the establishment and maintenance of a rulemaking docket that contains the information, data and documents upon which EPA bases its proposed and final rules; they provide an opportunity for the public to present written and oral comments to the Agency, including an opportunity to rebut views presented at a public hearing; and they require the Agency to respond to the significant public comments, criticisms and new data submitted during the comment period. EPA has decided that the better course in this instance is to follow section 307(d) rulemaking procedures and ensure that there is an open public process that allows interested parties to put on the record their views, comments, arguments and data relevant to the decision before the Agency.\3\ The Administrator has determined that, pursuant to section 307(d)(1)(V), if the Agency approves or partially approves the OTC recommendation, section 307(d) will apply.\4\ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- \3\EPA is not finding that it is legally obligated to use rulemaking procedures to approve the OTC recommendation. EPA reserves the right to approve future OTC recommendations without following rulemaking procedures. \4\The decision to follow rulemaking procedures is intended to preserve EPA's option of approving or partially approving the OTC recommendation. The Agency is not legally obligating itself to follow rulemaking procedures to the extent it disapproves or partially disapproves the OTC recommendation, although the Agency currently intends to follow the procedures set forth in 307(d) regardless of whether it approves or disapproves the OTC recommendation. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- EPA has established Air Docket No. A-94-11 and placed in it the data, information and documents upon which the Agency relied in drafting this proposal, as required by section 307(d) (2), (3) and (4). Section 307(d)(3)'s requirement that EPA publish a notice of proposed rulemaking is met by this notice. In view of the limited nine month timetable for EPA decision, to satisfy rulemaking requirements, EPA is also relying on the OTC's recommendation itself (developed through the OTC's statutory notice-and-comment process), the OTC's technical analysis and response to comments, as well as EPA's discussion of relevant issues, data, and other Agency information.\5\ This proposal leaves open EPA's option to approve, disapprove, or partially approve and partially disapprove the OTC recommendation in its final decision. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- \5\Courts have recognized the possibility of publishing State submissions to EPA to satisfy rulemaking requirements for a proposal. Under the 1977 Amendments, EPA argued that time constraints constituted ``good cause'' to avoid notice-and-comment rulemaking in designating areas according to their attainment status. In New Jersey v. EPA, the Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit emphasized that EPA could have published as proposed rules the State designations shortly after it received them in order to complete rulemaking under the short statutory timetable. New Jersey v. EPA, 626 F.2d 1038, 1043 (D.C. Cir. 1980). Accord United States Steel Corp. v. EPA, 595 F.2d 207 (5th Cir. 1979). --------------------------------------------------------------------------- EPA seeks public views, arguments, data and comments on all aspects of its analysis in this notice and on the Agency's information placed in the docket. EPA also seeks comment on the OTC's recommendation (contained in an Appendix to this proposal), on the OTC's views that are described in this notice, and on the OTC's technical support document and response to comments document that may be found in the docket. Finally, EPA will supplement the record with additional rationales, discussions, data, and other pertinent information for public participation and comment as that becomes available. As indicated in detail below, EPA is considering a number of complicated issues in determining whether to approve or disapprove the OTC recommendation, and invites comments on all of these issues. EPA intends to make every effort to afford the public an opportunity to participate in the Agency's process to respond to the recommendation. In addition to the opportunity to file written comments and present oral views at the May 2-3 public hearing, EPA intends to hold a series of public meetings in the Northeast to provide further opportunity for oral presentation of views. EPA also expects to supplement the record as necessary to allow the public to comment on new information and considerations that EPA believes it should take into account in making a decision. III. Standards Applicable to EPA Review of OTC Recommendation Section 184 of the Act specifies two general criteria that EPA is to apply in evaluating whether to approve, disapprove, or partially approve and partially disapprove the OTC recommendation. These are, first, whether the additional control measures that the OTC recommends are ``necessary'' and, second, whether the additional control measures are ``otherwise consistent with th[e] Act.'' If the recommended measure is necessary and consistent with the Act, EPA believes it would be obligated to approve the recommendation. A. Necessity EPA believes that it has substantial discretion to interpret the ``necessary'' test, and is considering a number of approaches, discussed below. EPA's evaluation of ``necessity'' could involve two fundamental analytic steps: First, EPA believes it should consider the magnitude of emissions reductions in ozone precursors needed for the nonattainment areas in the OTR to attain. Second, it may be appropriate to consider other potential emissions reduction measures that may be available to satisfy the needed magnitude of emissions reductions, and compare the LEV program to alternative measures. In connection with the magnitude of reductions needed for attainment, EPA is considering: (1) how it should address the geographic dimension of determining where the LEV program is necessary for areas in the OTR to achieve attainment; (2) how it should account for the timing of when the LEV program would generate reductions that could contribute to attainment; and (3) whether EPA can take into account the need for the LEV program for maintenance purposes. In connection with alternatives to the LEV program, EPA is evaluating relevant aspects of (1) the recommended LEV program; (2) the FLEV alternative that the auto manufacturers have proposed; and (3) other possible emissions reduction measures identified by EPA, the OTC, or other State bodies. 1. Necessity Finding EPA believes that more than one approach to defining what is ``necessary'' is conceivable. One possible approach is to consider as necessary any additional control measures that contribute to attainment, as long as measures specifically required by the Act or that are otherwise in place are insufficient to achieve attainment. Under this approach, the relevant question would be whether additional reductions are needed for attainment, and the availability of alternative control measures would not be relevant. A second approach is to first consider what emissions reductions are needed for attainment and then to compare the LEV program to alternative measures that could be adopted to achieve those reductions. Before enactment of the 1990 Amendments, EPA interpreted the term ``necessary'' generally in this manner under section 211(c)(4)(C) of the Act, in the context of preemption of State fuel requirements.\6\ The section 211(c) provision specifically addresses how alternative measures should be compared for purposes of evaluating necessity. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- \6\Other provisions of the Act also involve a ``necessary'' standard. Under section 110, the Administrator is to approve a State's SIP revision if it meets the applicable requirements of the Act, including the requirement in section 110(a)(2)(A) that the SIPs include measures ``as may be necessary or appropriate to meet the applicable requirements of this Act.'' Prior to the 1990 Amendments, section 110(a)(2) provided that the Administrator shall approve a State's SIP if it includes measures ``as may be necessary to insure attainment and maintenance'' of the primary and secondary NAAQS. The Supreme Court has interpreted the ``as may be necessary'' language to mean that ``the Administrator must assure that the minimal, or `necessary,' requirements are met, not that he detect and reject any state plan more demanding than federal law requires.'' Union Electric Co. v. EPA, 427 U.S. 246 at 263 (1976) (footnote omitted). EPA currently does not believe that this test, and the Union Electric Co. Court's analysis, are applicable under section 184. The Union Electric Co. Court explained that the language, structure, and purpose of the Act, are consistent with a State's decision to be stricter within its borders than Federal law requires, here, in contrast, section 184 appears to indicate that EPA is to disapprove the OTC's recommended measures if those measures are not necessary. Further, the Union Electric Court's analysis is inapplicable here because a majority of OTC States is seeking to impose requirements on dissenting OTC States over their objections. EPA requests comment on this view. Also, in connection with its study and rulemaking under section 202(i) related to ``Tier 2'' motor vehicle emissions standards, EPA is to determine whether ``there is a need for further reductions in emissions.'' (Emphasis supplied.) As discussed below, EPA has not yet completed the Tier 2 study or the subsequent rulemaking, and thus has not yet interpreted this standard in that context. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Section 211(c)(4)(A) provides that, subject to specified exceptions, States may not regulate characteristics of motor vehicle fuels or additives in order to control motor vehicle emissions once EPA has regulated that characteristic or has found that such regulation is not necessary. Congress apparently sought to preempt States from interfering with national uniformity in federal fuel regulations. Subparagraph (C) specifies an exception for States to regulate fuels and additives in their SIPs, which the Administrator may approve ``only if [s]he finds that the State control or prohibition is necessary to achieve the national primary or secondary ambient air quality standard which the plan implements.'' Prior to the 1990 Amendments, the term ``necessary'' was not further defined. At that time, EPA regulated the volatility of gasoline under section 211(c) in order to control evaporative emissions of VOCs. Certain States sought approval from EPA for more stringent volatility controls on the grounds that such more stringent controls were ``necessary'' under section 211(c)(4)(C). EPA approved States' more stringent volatility controls in New York and New Jersey, among others\7\. In addition, EPA earlier approved Arizona's controls on oxygenate content of gasoline in order to control carbon monoxide emissions as necessary under section 211(c)(4)(C).\8\ In approving these State controls, EPA articulated a test for determining ``necessity.'' There, EPA explained that if, after accounting for the possible reductions from all other reasonable control measures, the State could demonstrate that further measures are still needed for attainment, then the fuel controls are ``necessary'' within the meaning of section 211(c)(4)(C). EPA first articulated this test in the Arizona case: \7\See EPA's Approvals of Revisions for State Implementation Plans for New York, 54 FR 26030, 26031 (June 21, 1989) and New Jersey, 54 FR 25572, 25573 (June 16, 1989). \8\See EPA's Approval of Revisions for State Implementation Plan for Arizona, 53 FR 17378, 17413 (May 16, 1988) and 53 FR 30224, 20228 (Aug. 10, 1988). --------------------------------------------------------------------------- EPA believes that a fuel control measure may be ``necessary'' for timely attainment if no other measures that would bring about timely attainment exist, or if such other measures exist and are technically possible to implement but are unreasonable or impracticable.'' 53 FR at 17413. In short, EPA's approach was that the controls were necessary if they would still be needed for attainment after adoption of all other reasonable and practicable measures. Congress subsequently codified this interpretation when it added a definition of ``necessary'' to section 211(c)(4)(C) in the 1990 Amendments.\9\ \9\Of course, Congress did not codify this or any other definition of ``necessary'' in section 184. This difference might arguably support EPA's discretion to adopt a different approach to the term under section 184. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- In applying this definition of ``necessary'' in the fuel context, EPA explained that it would not require that a State impose more drastic measures (such as driving prohibitions, gas rationing, or plant shutdowns), as alternatives to State fuel controls. See 54 FR at 26031 and 26035. EPA further explained that it would conclude that measures are ``necessary'' when no other measures that EPA or the State has found reasonable are available\10\ to achieve this reduction. Beyond such identified ``reasonable'' measures, EPA need look at other measures before [the fuel] control only if it has clear evidence that [the fuel] control would have greater adverse impacts than those alternatives. Therefore, EPA can defer to [the State's] apparent view that [the fuel] control is the next less costly (or is itself a reasonable) measure. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- \10\In context, it appears that EPA intended the word ``available'' to mean ``sufficient.'' --------------------------------------------------------------------------- See 54 FR at 26031. EPA did consider cost-effectiveness of alternative measures as one criterion, but not the only criterion, for evaluating the reasonableness of the alternatives. 54 FR at 26035. EPA also explained: ``Arguably, an alternative measure is `reasonable' only if its effects are less drastic than the effects of the fuel controls.'' Id. There may be some ambiguity whether EPA's test was whether (considering cost and other factors), the fuel controls were more reasonable than alternatives, or that alternatives were so drastic as to prevent EPA from concluding that they were reasonable. EPA did state that it determined that reasonable alternatives would not achieve enough reductions, and that it ``determined that remaining controls such as gas rationing, driving reductions, and source shutdowns are so drastic that the State may resort to fuel controls first.'' 54 FR at 26033. But EPA immediately thereafter characterized its judgement as being that ``State fuel regulation is a less drastic course than gas rationing and other unpopular controls.'' Id. At the least, it seems that EPA believed that comparing the reasonableness of fuel controls to alternatives was a significant factor in determining whether the alternatives were themselves reasonable. EPA also explained that its judgment about what is too drastic ``is a complicated policy determination'' requiring the Administrator to weigh factors such as cost and popularity, and that such policy judgments need not be supported by the same technical record as, for example, determinations of as the magnitude or reductions an area needs for attainment. 54 FR at 26033. Also, EPA did not insist that the State fuel controls be sufficient to fill the shortfall to achieve attainment, or that all measures needed to achieve attainment actually be adopted in order to qualify for the section 211(c)(4)(C) exception. Most importantly, as the paragraph quoted above indicates, EPA gave significant deference to the State's determination regarding whether the fuel control was the most reasonable and practicable measure to achieve the NAAQS. Congress's codification of EPA's interpretation of ``necessary'' in the fuel context confirms the validity of this interpretation in the fuels context. EPA is considering whether this approach should apply here, including deference to the OTC's view that no more ``reasonable'' and ``practicable'' alternatives to the recommended measure are available that would be sufficient for purposes of attainment. In addition to the fuels precedent, EPA believes that the statutory structure, together with the legislative history, may further support giving substantial weight, or deference, to the OTC's recommendation that implementation of the LEV program throughout the OTR is necessary for attainment in the region. While EPA is to review the OTC's recommendations under section 184(c)(2)(B) ``to determine whether the control measures are necessary,'' under section 184(c)(4) EPA is to specify ``why any disapproved additional control measures are not necessary'' if EPA disapproves or partially disapproves the recommendations. Section 184 nowhere mentions a parallel obligation to explain why the additional control measures are necessary in the case of approval or partial approval. EPA believes it could reasonably interpret these provisions to mean that EPA is to start with a presumption of approving the OTC's recommendations, unless it finds that the recommended measures are not necessary. EPA believes the legislative history could be read to support this view. As described above, the Baucus-Chafee Statement of Managers, in discussing EPA's role in reviewing an OTC recommendation, pointed out EPA's ``heavy burden'' to ``demonstrat[e] that the additional control measure(s) is not necessary.'' See 1 1990 Legislative History at 1004, supra (emphasis supplied). As noted above, the Statement of Managers' discussion used identical language to Senator Lieberman's description in the Senate debate. Further, Senator Lieberman characterized the Senate bill as ``clearly stating'' that EPA must demonstrate that the additional control measure is not necessary. See 1990 Legislative History at 1053, supra. To be sure, EPA generally has an obligation to explain the basis for its decision, and the House Report did indicate that EPA's response ``should be buttressed by supporting material.'' H.R. Rep't. No. 101- 490 at 256, reprinted in 2 1990 Legislative History at 3280, supra. But EPA's explicit statutory obligation to explain why a measure is ``not necessary'' together with the Senate's unequivocal interpretations in the legislative history may reasonably indicate that EPA should give substantial weight to the OTC's determination of necessity. EPA is mindful that its factual analysis of the LEV program's necessity will be subject to substantial uncertainty within the nine month timetable provided for a decision. EPA expects this to be so both for the modeling information regarding its analysis of the magnitude or reductions needed as well as the reasonableness of the LEV program and alterative measures. Here, EPA is under a statutory obligation to reach a decision by November 10, 1994. Meeting this deadline may be particularly important in this case, because the OTC States are obligated under section 182(b)(1)(A) and section 182(c)(2) of the Act to submit for their ozone nonattainment areas, by November 15, 1994, demonstrations that their SIPs, as revised, will provide for attainment of the ozone NAAQS by the dates applicable to each area. These States presumably intend to rely on EPA's decision regarding the recommended LEV program in their attainment demonstrations to show that their SIPs will provide for timely attainment. Without knowing whether EPA will approve, disapprove, or partially approve and partially disapprove the OTC's LEV recommendation, the States would not know what magnitude of emissions reductions their other SIP measures must achieve.\11\ Under these circumstances, and in light of the legislative history and statutory structure, it appears appropriate for EPA to at least resolve uncertainties in favor of approval, in deference to the OTC's determination of necessity. In other words, it appears appropriate for EPA to start with the position that it should approve the OTC's recommendation unless it has a sufficient factual basis to find that the LEV program is not necessary. EPA requests comment on whether and the extent to which it should accord deference to the OTC's determination that the LEV program is necessary. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- \11\EPA notes that it generally has found SIPs inadequate and called for plan revisions after complete SIPs have been submitted or where a new situation arises creating the inadequacy. Here, an approval of the OTC recommendation within the nine month timetable would result in a finding under section 110(k)(5) of SIP inadequacy under section 110(a)(2)(D) prior to submission of attainment demonstrations due November 15, 1994. EPA believes this is appropriate. The Act does not specify a deadline for compliance with section 110(a)(2)(D); section 184 does not limit EPA to finding SIPs inadequate only after attainment demonstrations are submitted; and section 110(k)(5) specifically authorizes EPA to require SIP revisions ``to mitigate adequately the interstate pollutant transport described in section [184] and or section [176A].'' Indeed, States may need to rely on EPA's decision here in their attainment demonstrations. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- EPA also recognizes counter-arguments that it should apply a more stringent variant of the section 211(c)(4)(C) approach, without deference to the OTC's view that no more ``reasonable'' and ``practicable'' alternatives to the recommended measure exist. This departure from the section 211(c) approach may be justified by a difference in context between sections 211(c) and 184. In particular, the purpose of preemption under section 211(c) is to preserve national uniformity in EPA fuel regulations, which States can override where ``necessary'' for purposes of achieving attainment. In contrast, under section 184 the OTC is authorized to specify, subject to EPA approval, measures necessary for compliance with the prohibition in section 110(a)(2)(D) of the Act against significant contribution interfering with attainment in any other State. States are already obligated to comply with section 110(a)(2)(D) and are free to choose the control measures to do so; section 184 adds an element of compulsion whereby the OTC may override an objecting State to impose specific ``necessary'' measures. Arguably, EPA deference might be less appropriate for the OTC, which can specify measures overriding the objection of a minority of its member States, and depriving them of their choice of measures to comply with section 110(a)(2)(D). On the other hand, it can be argued that Congress, in enacting section 184, intended the OTC to be given a substantial voice for proposing solutions to the ozone transport problem, even where its solutions override the views of some member States. Moreover, strict insistence on showing that no reasonable and practicable alternatives are available would seem to add little to the States' independent obligation to comply with section 110(a)(2)(D), since States are likely to choose reasonable and practicable means to comply. Still, Congress's own emphasis in the 1990 Amendments on specifying control measures it thought necessary for attainment, in addition to specifying deadlines, may indicate that allowing the OTC to specify additional control measures, even under a strict interpretation of ``necessary,'' is significant. EPA requests comment on whether, if that test should apply, EPA the interpretation of ``necessary'' under section 211(c)(4)(C) should apply here. In addition, EPA requests comment on whether it should defer to the OTC's evaluation of whether ``reasonable'' and ``practicable'' alternatives to the LEV program are available. Finally, EPA is considering how comparative cost-effectiveness and other social and environmental factors should affect its analysis of reasonable and practicable alternatives. One possible approach is that the LEV program would be necessary if it is still needed after all more cost-effective measures are adopted. As noted above, EPA considered cost-effectiveness as a criterion, but not the only criterion, in evaluating the reasonableness of controls under section 211(c)(4)(C). EPA recognizes that other policy reasons may support adoption of control measures that may not appear to be the most cost- effective for purposes of attaining the ozone NAAQS. For example, the socio-economic distribution of the burden of particular measures, employment impacts, and cross-media environmental impacts may affect the choice of control measures. EPA requests comment on how these factors should affect an analysis of alternatives. 2. Magnitude of Reductions As noted above, EPA believes it should address the amount of reductions needed for attainment in the OTR as the first step in evaluating whether the LEV program is necessary. In particular, EPA believes it is important to evaluate what reductions are needed, where they are needed, and when they are needed. In addition, EPA is considering whether it may also consider whether the LEV program is necessary for maintaining the ozone NAAQS even after it is achieved. The OTC addressed the magnitude of reductions necessary for OTR attainment in its response to comments and technical support documents. There, the OTC expressed the belief that the control strategies specifically mandated in the Clean Air Act would not be sufficient for the nonattainment areas in the OTR to achieve and maintain the ozone NAAQS. The OTC believes that more reductions will be needed than the LEV program would generate. Also, the OTC notes that, despite an overall recent decline in the frequency and severity of ozone exceedances, it believes that short term trends have proven inaccurate indicators of long term status. Further, the OTC notes that studies indicate that the trend toward fewer exceedances will reverse without significant additional NOX and VOC control. Regarding the scientific basis, the OTC also contends that emissions inventories, photochemical modeling and ambient monitoring data constitute the best tools available to evaluate the need for emissions reductions, despite continuing refinement of this scientific information. The OTC recognized that most air quality analysis in the past has focused on domains within a particular State rather than on a broader region. It asserts that it assessed the need for and effectiveness of reductions in the OTR using photochemical models, monitoring data, trajectory analyses, and mobile emission models. a. Focus on Contribution. At the outset, EPA believes the concern in section 184 with ozone transport affects its analysis of where emissions reductions are necessary for areas in the OTR to achieve attainment. That is, EPA currently believes that the ``need'' for additional measures in the OTR under section 184 should not focus on a State's need to adopt the LEV program in its own jurisdiction for the benefit of in-State nonattainment areas. States, of course, retain full authority to adopt this program under section 177 without EPA approval. Rather, EPA believes that the focus should be on the need for upwind States that contribute to nonattainment downwind to adopt the LEV program not for their own benefit but for the benefit of the downwind areas that could not otherwise attain on time. The statutory structure, including the reliance in section 184(c)(5) on section 110(a)(2)(D), as well as the legislative history, support this conclusion. Of course, EPA recognizes that upwind States also have an independent obligation to adopt measures for purposes of their own timely attainment. The measures upwind areas adopt for their own benefit may well be sufficient to prevent contribution to nonattainment downwind. While upwind areas may still contribute pollutants downwind after they have reached attainment, their independent obligation to attain should go a long way to reducing emissions that contribute to downwind nonattainment.\12\ It nevertheless seems that reductions in upwind areas may be necessary to prevent significant contribution to nonattainment downwind, even if the upwind areas would have to achieve those reductions for their own benefit, anyway. In other words, it does not seem that upwind areas' own need to reduce emissions for their own attainment should render those reductions unnecessary. To be sure, upwind areas' independent implementation of the LEV program in their SIPs may make it unnecessary for administrative purposes to mandate those controls. But EPA's obligation to mandate the recommended LEV measure does not appear to turn on whether the States already have or would have to implement that program for their own benefit. Rather, EPA's obligation seems to turn on whether the program is necessary for purposes of downwind attainment, regardless of whether it is necessary or has been adopted for upwind attainment purposes. EPA requests comment on this view. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- \12\One complication, discussed further below, is the timing of reductions upwind, where the upwind areas may have a later attainment deadline. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Finally, EPA notes that it may be possible for downwind areas that are the recipients of transported pollution to counteract some portion of the incoming pollutants by adopting more controls downwind than would otherwise be necessary. Such areas might diminish the reductions necessary upwind by adopting such more stringent controls downwind. For downwind areas that are less polluted and have less stringent controls in place, the downwind areas might even be able to ``over-control'' at less cost than it would take for upwind areas to prevent some increment of contribution. On the other hand, it may not be fair to insist that downwind areas bear the cost of counteracting pollution that is generated upwind. In any case, however, no area receives air at its boundaries that is free of ozone or precursors. Thus, in evaluating what upwind contribution ``needs'' to be reduced for attainment downwind, it may be important to determine what ``boundary conditions'' downwind areas should be entitled to receive. EPA requests comment on these issues, and particularly on the extent to which it should view upwind reductions as necessary for attainment downwind, if the downwind area could, through extra controls, make those upwind reductions unnecessary. b. Timing of Reductions. As noted above, the OTC recommendation calls for adoption of the LEV program in the OTR in 1996, providing two years lead-time to auto manufacturers with the LEV standards applicable to model year 1999 vehicles. The benefits of this program are also dependent upon turnover in the vehicle fleet. As referenced above, EPA is thus mindful that this schedule for the LEV program will not generate reductions in time to assist areas in meeting a moderate area 1996 and will generate only minimal reductions by the serious area 1999 attainment deadline. More benefits would be available for severe areas with a 2005 or 2007 attainment deadline. The importance of when upwind reductions are necessary for downwind attainment, and when the LEV program will generate such reductions raises a number of important issues. First, in order for the LEV standards to apply in model year 1999, EPA may have to reach a decision to approve the OTC recommendation by the end of 1994. This may be an important factor supporting EPA's action within the nine month statutory timetable based on the best available current information. Under section 177 of the Act, States may adopt motor vehicle emissions standards identical to California's standards if ``California and the State adopt such standards at least two years before commencement of such model year (as determined by regulations of the Administrator).'' Under EPA's current regulations, model year 1999 may begin as early as 2 January 1998 (See 40 CFR 86.082-2). To provide two years lead-time, States might then have to adopt California's standards by 2 January 1996 in order for the standards to apply for model year 1999.\13\ If EPA were to approve the OTC's LEV recommendation, section 184(c)(5) provides that EPA's finding of SIP inadequacy is to require that States revise their SIPs to include the LEV program within one year of the finding.\14\ Therefore, if EPA is to require that States adopt the LEV program and submit SIP revisions by 2 January 1996, then EPA must make a finding of SIP inadequacy no later than 2 January 1995. Delays in an EPA decision could delay application of an approved program, and would further delay the benefits and the degree to which such benefits could contribute to timely attainment. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- \13\An issue in litigation in New York and Massachusetts has been whether the model year and two-year lead-time requirement under section 177 may vary for different manufacturers that begin their model years at different times, or whether the model year begins for purposes of section 177 for all manufacturers as soon as the model year may begin for any manufacturer. \14\It is not entirely clear whether EPA has discretion to give States less than one full year to submit their SIP revisions. Under section 110(k)(5), EPA ``may establish reasonable deadlines (not to exceed 18 months after such notice) for submission of such plan revisions.'' The more specific provision in section 184 that lacks the explicit grant of discretion from section 110(k)(5) itself arguably indicates that EPA does not have such discretion. EPA requests comment on this view. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Finally, EPA believes the time when the LEV program would generate reductions also relates to the locations where reductions are needed for purposes of relieving contribution of transported pollutants that interfere with timely attainment. It appears that the LEV program will generate reductions in time only to help areas to achieve attainment by the severe classification deadline of 2005 or 2007. States in the most northeast portion of the OTR, including Rhode Island, Massachusetts, Maine, Vermont, and New Hampshire, contain no such areas. EPA believes that its recent considerations in response to ozone transport problems in a letter to Senator Carl Levin\15\ and in subsequent March 21, 1994 letters to the Massachusetts Department of Environmental Protection and the Conservation Law Foundation (CLF)\16\ may be relevant to the timing of LEV reductions. In particular, certain moderate nonattainment areas have raised a concern that they may not be able to themselves adopt controls to ensure attainment of the ozone standard by the 1996 deadline for areas classified as moderate because air pollution transported from upwind may be the dominant factor accounting for their nonattainment problem. The solution contemplated in the section 184 transport provision is for the responsible upwind areas to relieve their significant contribution so that the downwind areas may attain on time. Still, in certain cases this view could be at odds with the overall title I scheme that establishes later deadlines for attainment in more polluted areas and also establishes a graduated program of additional and more stringent requirements to be accomplished in those areas over the longer time-frame. If accelerating controls in the upwind areas is impracticable and certain facts related to ozone transport could be shown, EPA suggested it might consider reasonably interpreting the Act to grant the downwind areas additional time to reach attainment beyond the dates specified in section 181(a)(1). EPA concluded its letters to Senator Levin and the CLF by indicating that it is continuing to develop policy to address this problem. EPA requests comment on the relevance of this policy here. In particular, reductions generated over time through fleet turnover to vehicles meeting LEV standards could be more important in assisting areas in reaching attainment by later deadlines. If any moderate or serious areas in the OTR have until later than 1999 to attain, this could affect the utility of the LEV program for such areas to reach attainment. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- \15\See letter from Mary D. Nichols, Assistant Administrator for Air and Radiation, to the Hon. Carl Levin (March 7, 1994). \16\See letters from John S. Seitz, Director, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, to Renee J. Robins, Staff Scientist, Conservation Law Foundation (March 21, 1994) and to Barbara Kweta, Director, Division of Air Quality Control, Massachusetts Department of Environmental Protection (March 21, 1994). --------------------------------------------------------------------------- For episodes in which the long-range transport is from the southwest to the northeast in the OTR, States northeast of New York and Connecticut would not contribute to nonattainment in any severe nonattainment area. Under these circumstances, the LEV program in such States would not assist any downwind areas in reaching attainment by the deadlines specified in the Act. However, past episodes have shown that high concentrations in the severe areas do not always occur only when the wind blows from the southwest. When the wind blows in the opposite direction from these States into severe areas to the south, the LEV program in these States could assist the severe areas in reaching attainment. EPA requests comment on whether it would be appropriate to geographically limit any approval of the recommended LEV program. EPA is also considering whether it has discretion to take into account whether the LEV program is necessary for areas to maintain the ozone NAAQS after achieving attainment. Particularly in the case of motor vehicle standards, whose benefits require time for the fleet to turn over, taking the OTR's maintenance needs into account could significantly affect the analysis. The OTC, in its response to comments, noted that LEV is a significant factor in achieving maintenance requirements. Section 184(c)(1) specifies on its face that the OTC may develop recommendations for additional control measures if the OTC determines such measures are ``necessary to bring any area in such region into attainment by the dates provided by this subpart.'' Identical language appears in section 184(c)(2) to describe EPA's obligation in reviewing the need for the control measures in the recommendations and a third time in section 184(c)(4) to describe EPA's obligation to explain why any control measures in the recommendation are not necessary. This language, omitting any reference to maintenance, unless unintentional, might suggest that Congress designed section 184(c) as a tool to reach attainment alone, and not to ensure maintenance thereafter. Congress explicitly addressed maintenance in connection with ozone transport under section 110(a)(2)(D). As discussed above, if EPA approves the OTC recommendation, under section 184(c)(5) it is to find SIPs inadequate under section 110(a)(2)(D). That latter provision specifies that SIPs are to contain adequate provisions to prohibit emissions that will ``contribute significantly to nonattainment in, or interfere with maintenance by, any other State'' with respect to any primary or secondary NAAQS. To be sure, States continue to have an obligation in any case to comply with the requirement in section 110(a)(2)(D) to prevent emissions that will interfere with maintenance by any other State. But the omission of any reference to maintenance in section 184 may indicate that Congress did not intend it to be a proper basis for OTC recommendations.\17\ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- \17\One might argue that the need to bring any area in the OTR into timely attainment inherently carries with it the need to bring such areas ``back'' into attainment if they attain and subsequently relapse into nonattainment again. The difficulty with such a view, however, is that it seems at odds with the distinction--clearly delineated elsewhere in the Act--between attainment and maintenance. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Section 176A(a) governs the establishment of transport regions, and additions or removals of areas from such regions. Section 176A(b) governs the establishment of transport commissions for such regions, the representation on and voting of a commission, and a commission's obligations to assess transport, strategies for addressing it, and to: Recommend to the Administrator such measures as the Commission determines to be necessary to ensure that the plans for the relevant States meet the requirements of section [110(a)(2)(D)]. A commission under section 176A therefore appears obligated to consider compliance with section 110(a)(2)(D) in its entirety, including compliance with the requirement to prohibit interference with maintenance by other States. Section 176A(c) governs requests from the commission to EPA, providing simply that the commission ``established under subsection (b) may request the Administrator to issue a finding under section [110(k)(5)] that the [SIP] for one or more of the States in the transport region is substantially inadequate to meet the requirements of section [110(a)(2)(D)].'' That subsection also governs EPA's obligation to approve, disapprove, or partially approve and disapprove a commission's request within 18 months and to issue a finding of SIP inadequacy under section 110(k)(5) at the time of any approval. Under section 176A(c), again, the commission's authority to request a finding of inadequacy appears to extend to all requirements of section 110(a)(2)(D), including the obligations relating to maintenance. Section 184 does incorporate portions of section 176A by reference. On this basis, one might argue that Congress intended the OTC's power under section 184 to be broader than a commission's power under section 176A, and would thus reach maintenance issues in some manner. Section 184(a) provides that ``a single transport region for ozone (within the meaning of section [176A(a)])'' for the Northeast States is established by operation of law. That subsection further provides that the Administrator is to convene the OTC ``required (under section [176A(b)])'' that results from the establishment by operation of law. These provisions arguably indicate that the OTC under section 184 is also a creature of section 176A, as a transport region ``within the meaning of'' section 176A(b) and ``convened'' under section 176A(b). Indeed, it is section 176A(b), referenced in section 184(a), that authorizes a commission to make recommendations for measures needed to comply with section 110(a)(2)(D). Of course, section 184(c) sets out a process for the OTC to recommend additional control measures that the States must adopt ``within one year'' after EPA's approval and finding of SIP inadequacy. Under section 176A, in contrast, EPA's approval results in a finding of SIP inadequacy but does not result in specific new mandatory control measures. Even if the OTC here has authority through section 176A to recommend that EPA find SIPs inadequate in relation to maintenance, section 176A would not appear to provide for EPA to require specific new control measures for maintenance purposes. Perhaps Congress intended to limit this extra power to create new mandatory control measures to attaining the NAAQS, but not to extend to maintenance thereafter. It might be reasonable to believe that EPA's difficulty in ensuring attainment in the Northeast justified this extra invasion into State discretion, but that Congress trusted EPA would be better able to enforce States' obligations to prevent interference with maintenance elsewhere, once contribution preventing attainment is addressed. In any case, in considering the LEV measure, EPA believes that it may consider maintenance in the course of its analysis here for independent purposes of section 110(a)(2)(D). In other words, EPA's process in responding to the OTC recommendation may provide an appropriate forum in which to also consider what upwind control measures may be necessary for purposes of preventing interference with maintenance downwind. Instead of considering what reductions in current emissions may be necessary to prevent contribution to nonattainment, for maintenance the relevant concern would seem to be the need for additional controls after attainment to counteract growth and prevent emissions that would cause downwind areas to relapse into nonattainment. EPA believes it might reasonably determine in this proceeding that States' SIPs would need to control an additional increment of emissions to prevent interfering with maintenance downwind even after it is achieved. EPA might then notify States that their SIPs are inadequate to prevent interference with maintenance of the NAAQS. Apart from mandating particular measures for maintenance under section 184, EPA believes that it could identify the increment of controls that appear to be ``necessary'' to prevent interference with maintenance downwind, and the measures that appear ``necessary'' to achieve adequate emissions control for this purpose. Under such circumstances, EPA believes it has independent authority under section 110(k)(5) to insist that States adopt such controls, or other comparably effective controls, to address the maintenance concern. Finally, in connection with maintenance, EPA believes that its inability to establish more stringent ``Tier 2'' motor vehicle standards under section 202(i) until model year 2004 is relevant.\18\ As noted above, under section 202(a), Congress explicitly provided that EPA may not modify the ``Tier 1'' auto emissions standards specified in subsections 202(a)(3)(B)(ii), (g), (h) and (i) prior to model year 2004. The OTC, in its response to comments, recognized this limitation. The OTC recommendation calls for the LEV standards to apply beginning in model year 1999, a full 5 model years earlier than Tier 2 standards could at the earliest apply under section 202(i). Therefore, EPA should consider the need for LEV standards during those years when Tier 2 could not be available, whether for purposes of reaching attainment or for maintenance thereafter. The OTC, in its response to comments, contends that the earlier implementation of LEV is important for severe areas to achieve attainment by 2005 or 2007. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- \18\Subsection 202(i) sets out the scheme for EPA to consider and possibly establish more stringent ``Tier 2'' standards beginning with model year 2004. Under paragraphs (1) and (2) of subsection 202(i), EPA is to study whether more stringent ``Tier 2'' standards should be adopted beginning with model year 2004, taking into account such factors as the need for further reductions, technical feasibility, cost, and alternatives. EPA is to submit this study to Congress no later than June 1, 1997. Under paragraph (3), based on this study EPA is to determine, through rulemaking, whether to establish more stringent ``Tier 2'' standards to be applicable no earlier than model year 2004 but not later than model year 2006. Finally, subparagraph (3)(E) provides a default to ``Tier 2'' emissions standards specified in Table 3 in paragraph (1), unless EPA affirmatively decides not to promulgate, to postpone or to promulgate an alternative to such standards. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- EPA is considering whether it may account for the possibility of Tier 2 standards beginning with model year 2004 in analyzing the need for the LEV program. EPA's authority to adopt more stringent Tier 2 standards for model year 2004, if necessary, may make less pressing a determination now that LEV is necessary for model years 2004 and after. However, the impact of Tier 2 standards for reaching attainment deadlines in 2005 or 2007 is likely to be small and this consideration therefore may be more important for purposes of the OTR's maintenance needs. Moreover, EPA is aware that it cannot prejudge the outcome of the Tier 2 study that is to be the basis for its Tier 2 rulemaking. EPA questions whether it is at all appropriate for its decision regarding the necessity of the OTC-LEV program to be influenced by the mere possibility of future federal regulations, where such regulations are not assured and where states have little to no control regarding whether such regulations will ever be promulgated. EPA also notes that the issues relevant to the Tier 2 study are not identical to the issues relevant to the establishment of the OTC-LEV program. For example, Tier 2 standards would apply nation-wide, and EPA's analysis would balance the relevant factors on a national scale, whereas the analysis of need for the OTC's LEV program should be more focused on the OTR. EPA requests comment on all aspects of this analysis. In particular, EPA requests comment on whether it can or should consider the OTR's need for controls for purposes of maintenance in addition to attainment, and on the relevance of Tier 2 standards to its analysis. c. Technical considerations. Pursuant to section 184(d), EPA has published criteria for assessing transport of ozone and ozone precursors.\19\ These criteria recommend use of trajectory models and timing considerations to provide a qualitative judgment regarding the relative importance of transport in contributing to an area's nonattainment problem. The OTC, to support its recommendation, relied upon such approaches to establish the importance of transport as a contributing factor to nonattainment in the OTR. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- \19\U.S. EPA, 1991, Criteria for Assessing the Role of Transported Ozone/Precursors in Ozone Nonattainment Areas, EPA-450/ 4-91-015. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- The criteria also identify more quantitative procedures for considering effects of transport in urban scale modeling applications applied in SIP attainment demonstrations. The criteria identify use of regional grid photochemical models as the preferred approach for providing quantitative estimates of transport. These estimates are used as inputs to urban scale models, such as the Urban Airshed Model, in order to estimate reductions in local emissions and/or transport necessary to demonstrate attainment. Unfortunately, however, urban modeling analyses using SIP databases are not yet available and are not due to be submitted to EPA as part of States' attainment demonstrations until November 15, 1994. However, several regional modeling studies have been performed to characterize regional transport of ozone in the OTR. It is not possible to come up with precise control targets for ozone precursor emissions from these studies, due to their use of an earlier emission inventory, the broad spatial resolution available in the model used and the nature of the control strategies investigated. Nevertheless, the studies are useful for deriving approximate estimates. Further, their credence is enhanced by the fact that they all lead to a consistent conclusion that a substantial reduction in NOX emissions and VOC emissions are likely to be necessary to reduce ozone to the 0.12 ppm NAAQS or below throughout the OTR during periods of adverse meteorological conditions. For example, Possiel, et al. (1991)\20\ conclude that ``stringent maximum technology VOC and NOX controls'' with emissions reductions on the order of 70% for VOC and 50% for NOX ``may be necessary in all areas of the Northeast Corridor'', and additional reductions of VOC may be needed in some portions of the corridor. Results presented in another EPA study by Chu, et al. (1994)\21\ suggest that regional reductions in VOC and NOX of 50% or more may be needed to reduce highest ozone levels to 0.12 ppm or less in the northeastern United States. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- \20\Possiel, N.C., L.B. Milch and B.R. Goodrich (eds.), 1991, Regional Modeling for Northeast Transport, EP-450/4-91-002a, U.S. EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC. \21\Chu. S.H. and W.M. Cox, 1994, ``Effects of Emissions Reductions on Ozone Predicitions by the Regional Oxidant Model (ROM) During the July 1988 Episode'', accepted for publication in J. of Applied Meteorology. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 3. The OTC's Recommended LEV Program a. OTC-LEV Provisions. The LEV program recommended by the OTC (OTC- LEV) would apply to all 1999 and subsequent model year passenger cars and light-duty trucks (LDTs) (0-5750 pounds loaded vehicle weight (LVW)) in the OTR. The OTC-LEV program would establish five categories of vehicles: California ``Tier I'' vehicles; transitional low emission vehicles (TLEVs); low emission vehicles (LEVs); ultra-low emission vehicles (ULEVs); and zero emission vehicles (ZEVs). Each vehicle category has specific exhaust emission certification standards for hydrocarbons (expressed in terms of ``non-methane organic gases,'' or ``NMOG''), carbon monoxide (CO), oxides of nitrogen (NOX), particulate matter (PM) and formaldehyde (HCHO). The OTC-LEV program would also establish a NMOG ``fleet average'' requirement that, for passenger cars and small light-duty trucks (LDTs), would decline from a value of 0.113 gpm in 1999 to 0.062 gpm in 2003 and later years. Manufacturers would be obliged to produce larger percentages of the more stringent categories of vehicles (LEVs, ULEVs and ZEVs) in order to meet the increasingly stringent NMOG standard. The program also includes a slightly higher NMOG fleet average for larger LDTs. Manufacturers would be free to decide the mix of vehicle categories they would produce, provided the NMOG fleet average requirement is met, except that if EPA determines that the California LEV program's ZEV sales requirement must be included in the OTC-LEV program, then manufacturers would be required to include in their vehicle fleet a certain percentage of ZEVs per model year. (The OTC recommendation, barring a determination that section 177 requires the adoption of a ZEV mandate, leaves the decision to adopt a ZEV mandate to the individual states. This issue will be discussed in the ``Consistency with the Act'' section, below.) Under the ZEV sales requirement, when the OTC- LEV program begins in 1999, two percent of a manufacturer's sales of light-duty vehicles must be ZEVs. The sales requirement increases to a maximum of 10 percent of sales for model year 2003 and beyond. The OTC explicitly excluded California reformulated gasoline requirements from its recommendation. Also, the OTC-LEV program is limited to light-duty vehicles and trucks. The OTC-LEV program would be enforced by the OTC states. b. EPA Modeling for the OTC-LEV Program. EPA will use the MOBILE5a emission factor model to quantify the HC, CO, and NOX emission reductions associated with the OTC-LEV program. MOBILE5a incorporates the latest technical information available on both the expected certification and in-use performance of vehicles meeting LEV standards. MOBILE5a uses emission factor equations for each OTC-LEV exhaust standard, and the proportion of vehicles meeting each of these standards necessary to meet the fleet average NMOG standard for each model year, to calculate the average emissions of each model year of the LEV program in any calendar year. EPA anticipates emissions reductions for NOX and CO, as well as NMOG, due to the lower NOX and CO standards required for vehicles in the OTC-LEV program. The emissions factor equations are derived from an engineering analysis of the performance of vehicles meeting existing exhaust standards and of the effect of new emission controls needed to meet the OTC-LEV standards. The emission factor equations for LEVs also take into account differences between certification fuel in California and the federal fuel which will be used in the OTR. Also, to evaluate the need for the LEV program to maintain the NAAQS, EPA would have to model emissions well past the attainment deadlines. Emission factors from MOBILE5a are multiplied by vehicle miles traveled (VMT) in order to create emissions inventories. For this analysis, EPA will be comparing projected mobile source inventories in future years with and without the OTC-LEV program. EPA will follow the same guidance EPA has given the States when projecting future VMT. MOBILE5a has the ability to model a LEV program which includes a ZEV sales mandate or a LEV program without a ZEV sales mandate, both meeting the same NMOG fleet average requirement. To properly quantify the emissions impact of the OTC recommendation, EPA will require information on the extent to which ZEVs will be required, as well as information on ZEV usage patterns and on their effect on power plant emissions. There are a number of other programs designed to reduce emissions from highway vehicles, including federal reformulated fuel, control of refueling emissions, and transportation control measures (TCMs), that are either mandated by the Clean Air Act in all or parts of the OTR or are programs that the States may opt into as part of a SIP. EPA intends to quantify the emission reductions of the OTC-LEV program, taking into account all mandatory measures and other regional measures that the OTC has identified. The timing of reductions could be accelerated if States were to adopt schemes to accelerate fleet turnover. But these schemes would likely have to be drastic to significantly increase the reductions that the LEV program would generate by 2005. At this time, EPA believes that evaporative emissions from California and federal vehicles will be the same, under a given fuel and inspection regime. This assumption is reflected in MOBILE5a. One current development that may affect EPA's modeling of the OTC- LEV program is California's decision as to whether to require onboard refueling vapor recovery systems (ORVR) as part of its motor vehicle emission program. See CARB Mail-out #94-08, Workshop Notice (Feb. 9, 1994). Should California receive a waiver from EPA which would permit them not to require ORVR, it would seem inappropriate to include any emissions benefits from ORVR in modeling the benefits of the California LEV program. Given that the OTC-LEVs would have to meet identical standards as the California vehicles and that the OTC could not require a ``third vehicle,'' the OTC-LEVs could also have no requirements for onboard systems. The lack of an onboard refueling requirement for the OTC-LEV program could affect the emission benefits of the LEV program. The issue is related to section 184(b)(2)'s requirement that Stage II vehicle refueling provisions, or provisions capable of achieving comparable emissions reductions, shall be implemented in the OTR. EPA requests comment on the effect that a California's decision not to require ORVR would have on EPA's action on the OTC recommendation implications which this would have for Stage II exemption levels and enforcement provisions in the OTR. EPA requests comment and technical data regarding the effect of the OTC-LEV program on emissions in the OTR. EPA will also review the cost effectiveness of the OTC-LEV program. Cost estimates of California's LEV program have varied greatly. Much of the variation is attributable to different assumptions regarding the necessary technology, economies of scale, and how development costs should be calculated. During EPA's consideration of California's waiver for its LEV program, California estimated additional costs to be $170 per car, while the automobile industry estimated this figure to be over $1000 per car. While both California and the industry have subsequently refined and reduced their estimates based on new hardware assumptions, the large difference remains an issue. Cost-effectiveness estimates for the OTC-LEV program will be somewhat distinct from the California LEV cost-effectiveness estimates because some or much of the costs that were included in the California LEV estimates, particularly research and development costs, may be reduced or eliminated in the OTC-LEV context because the costs have already been expended in developing the California LEV program. EPA requests comment on cost-effectiveness of the OTC-LEV program, given the continuing existence of the California LEV program. 4. Alternatives to the OTC's Recommended LEV Program The recitation clauses to the OTC recommendation specifically state: Whereas the OTC expects the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, through the consultation process provided in Section 184(c) of the Clean Air Act, to evaluate alternatives (including the program presented by the automobile manufacturers with enhancements) which are comparable in terms of enforceability, timeliness, and quantity of emission reductions to those achieved by the OTC LEV program, are consistent with the Clean Air Act, and advances technology. This indicates that the OTC intends that EPA consider alternatives, and in particular that EPA should consider the auto manufacturers' alternative. a. Automobile Manufacturers' Alternative to the OTC's Recommended LEV Program. The American Automobile Manufacturers Association's (AAMA) alternative program to the California LEV program is known as the Federal LEV or FLEV program. As proposed by the auto manufacturers, manufacturers would provide FLEVs to all States in the OTC. The FLEV automobiles would meet the following emission standards: 0.125 gpm NMOG; 2.5 gpm CO; 0.3 gpm NOX at 100,000 miles; and 0.2 gpm NOX at 50,000 miles. Light-duty trucks would also have FLEV standards. The FLEV standards would be phased-in, with the standards applicable to 30% of all new cars in model year 2001, 60% in model year 2002, and 100% in model year 2003. These standards represent a substantial improvement from the federal Tier I standards (0.25 gpm NMHC, 3.4 gpm CO, 0.4 NOX) with which manufacturers must now comply. The standards are, however, less stringent than the federal Tier II ``default'' standards specified in Table 1 in section 202(i)(1) (0.125 gpm NMHC, 1.7 gpm CO, 0.2 gpm NOX), which cannot apply before model year 2004. They are also less stringent than California's LEV category standards for NMOG (0.075 gpm at 50,000, 0.090 gpm at 100,000) but more stringent than California's LEV category standards for CO (3.4 gpm at 50,000, 4.2 gpm at 100,000). The AAMA proposed that FLEV vehicles would be available nationwide. A sales mandate for ZEVs was not included in the FLEV proposal. Under the FLEV proposal, manufacturers would certify their vehicles to the FLEV standards, but in-use standards would remain at the current federal Tier 1 levels through at least model year 2003. As proposed, the FLEV program would be implemented through a consent decree settling litigation regarding implementation of the LEV program in New York and Massachusetts. The consent decree mechanism was proposed based on the contention that section 202(b)(1)(C) and 202(i) prohibit EPA from imposing the FLEV standards prior to model year 2004 and that section 209 prohibits States from adopting the FLEV standards. Under the proposal, in addition to the manufacturers' obligation to provide cars meeting FLEV standards, the consent decree would reflect the States' agreement not to adopt the LEV program; Massachusetts's and New York's agreement to withdraw their programs; and an agreement that the manufacturers' obligations to provide FLEV cars would terminate if any State adopted a California LEV program. While States would have the right to enforce the FLEV program through the court supervising the consent decree, EPA might provide the information regarding whether particular cars in fact meet the FLEV standards. The auto manufacturers proffered their FLEV proposal to the OTC, which determined that it would not achieve the same level of emission control as the California LEV program. In reaching this conclusion, the OTC emphasized a number of points in its response to comments document. First, under the proposal the FLEV standards would apply two model years later than the OTC-LEV standards, and would not be fully implemented until two years thereafter. Second, the level of NMOG emissions under the FLEV proposal would be considerably higher than under the OTC-LEV program. Third, according to the OTC, projections using EPA's MOBILE5 emissions model indicate that in the year 2020, emissions of hydrocarbons under the OTC-LEV program will be about 30 percent lower than they would be under the FLEV program, due largely to the portion of the fleet under the OTC-LEV program consisting of cars meeting ULEV and ZEV standards. In sum, the OTC calculates that its LEV program would provide 21 tons per day of VOC reductions and 38 tons per day of NOX reductions in the OTR beyond the FLEV proposal.\22\ Fourth, the OTC notes that under the FLEV proposal, the FLEV standards would apply for new car certification, but, until model year 2004, in- use standards would be the same as the federal Tier I standards. This, according to the OTC, may reduce the emissions reductions that would otherwise be predicted from the FLEV program. Fifth, the OTC notes that, since the FLEV proposal is premised on the withdrawal of the now- adopted LEV programs in New York and Massachusetts, as many as eight or nine years of emissions reductions from those programs would be lost under the FLEV proposal. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- \22\This calculation assumed: (1) ``Maximum'' I/M for under both programs; (2) Federal reformulated gasoline; (3) earlier introduction of the LEV program. It is unclear whether the calculation assumed the ZEV sales mandate under the OTC-LEV program. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- In addition, the OTC points out additional benefits of the OTC-LEV program over the FLEV proposal. These include the expected increase in use of alternative fuels under the OTC-LEV program, which will reduce dependence on foreign oil and reduce emissions of greenhouse gases, as well as the benefits of forcing advanced technology, particularly associated with cars meeting ULEV and ZEV standards. Certain technologies, such as electrically heated catalysts and hydrocarbon traps would apparently not be needed to meet FLEV standards, nor would electric car technology. Also, the OTC believes that technologies such as adoptive transient learning controls, dual oxygen sensors, improved fuel atomization and auxiliary air would not be used commonly for FLEV vehicles. Further, the OTC believes its LEV program would force advances in battery technologies, and potential initiatives such as hydrogen fuel cells and fly wheels. (Of course, to the extent a ZEV sales mandate is not part of the OTC LEV program, ZEV technologies may not be advanced.) EPA seeks comment on the emission control and other benefits of the FLEV program, particularly in comparison to the OTC-LEV program. In addition, the OTC expressed concerns regarding the enforceability of the FLEV proposal. EPA is likewise concerned about whether such a program could be adopted and enforced. As noted above, it is likely that EPA could not alter Tier 1 standards prior to model year 2004, and therefore could not impose the FLEV standards before that time. Even beginning in model year 2004, EPA adoption of standards comparable to the FLEV standards would have to be supported under the criteria set out in section 202(i) of the Act. As the OTC pointed out, States also cannot adopt or enforce the FLEV standards, because they cannot adopt any new motor vehicle standards (other than the California standards) under the preemption provisions of section 209 of the Act. Section 209(a) prohibits States from adopting or attempting to enforce ``any standard relating to the control of emissions'' from new motor vehicles and also prohibits States from requiring any approval relating to emissions as a condition precedent to initial retail sale, titling, or registration of new vehicles.'' To establish the legal framework for implementing the FLEV program, the manufacturers have relied on the section 302(k) definition of ``emission standard'' (i.e. ``a requirement established by the State or the Administrator''). They argue that the consent decree arrangement does not involve an ``emission standard'' since the standards would not be ``established'' by the State or the Administrator. The applicability of the section 302(k) definition to section 209(a), however, is not clear, since section 209(a) does not use the term ``emission standard'' but rather uses the perhaps broader language ``any standard relating to the control of emissions from new motor vehicles.'' EPA requests comment on whether using the consent decree mechanism to establish the FLEV proposal would adequately avoid a conflict with section 209 and allow States to enforce the FLEV program. The consent decree mechanism raises a set of legal concerns. One such concern is whether all the OTC States could become parties to the consent decree. The auto manufacturers suggest that the OTC States could intervene in the New York or Massachusetts litigation under Rule 24 of the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure. They contend that the OTC States' October 29, 1991 Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) that each State in the OTC would take steps to implement California's LEV program as soon as possible constitutes adequate grounds for permissive intervention under Rule 24(b). Other concerns are raised regarding the role of the court in a consent decree. The consent decree mechanism would require that the court determine that a decree is an appropriate commitment of the court's limited resources. Under the FLEV proposal, the district court overseeing the consent decree would presumably directly enforce the FLEV standards sua sponte or at the behest of parties to the decree. (The penalties for noncompliance are not clear.) EPA is concerned that supervision of the FLEV program could require substantial resources from the court. Finally, it is not clear how enforcement would work if any auto manufacturers refused to sign the consent decree. EPA requests comment on each of these issues, particularly whether the consent decree mechanism is sufficient for enforcement and on whether the OTC States could intervene in the litigation under section 24(b) to be able to enforce the decree. EPA is also concerned about its ability to grant SIP credits for emissions reductions under the FLEV proposal. First, credits are ordinarily limited to emissions reduction measures that are adopted in a State's SIP, after reasonable notice and public hearing (as provided in section 110(a)(2) of the Act). One issue is whether under the FLEV proposal, the emissions controls could be part of the SIP, since to make them part of the SIP could conflict with the preemption provisions of section 209(a) of the Act. Further, once controls are adopted in the SIP, they are ordinarily federally enforceable under section 113 of the Act. Under the FLEV proposal, EPA would not be in a position to enforce the controls, both because the controls would not be in the SIP, and because the auto manufacturers have proposed that EPA not sign the consent decree. And it is not clear what jurisdiction the court would have to allow EPA to intervene in the New York or Massachusetts litigation to sign the consent decree, or to otherwise seek judicial enforcement of such a decree. For OTC States that would not sign the consent decree, it is unclear how such States could seek enforcement of the FLEV standards, or how EPA could grant SIP credits to them. Finally, the existence of clauses allowing the auto manufacturers to escape from their obligations to provide cars meeting the FLEV standards under particular circumstances reduces the certainty of the emissions controls. EPA is concerned that this lack of certainty conflicts with the ordinary certainty of SIP creditable measures. EPA requests comment on its ability to grant SIP credits for reductions generated under the FLEV proposal. b. Other Measures. The OTC in its recommendation stated that it expects EPA to evaluate alternatives comparable to the OTC-LEV program in terms of enforceability, timeliness, quantity of emissions reductions, consistency with the Act, and advancement in technology. EPA recognizes that the magnitude of emissions reductions needed to mitigate significant contribution to nonattainment in the OTR is likely to exceed the reductions that the measures specified in the Act plus the LEV program will generate. To the extent more reductions will be needed even with the LEV program, other measures that address that shortfall would not, for that reason alone, qualify as ``alternatives'' to LEV. Rather, other measures might qualify as ``alternatives'' only if such other measures, singly or in combination, generate enough reductions to fill the entire shortfall needed without LEV. Any conclusions about what may qualify as ``alternatives,'' therefore, would depend on a prior evaluation of the magnitude of reductions needed. Once the amount of reductions needed is ascertained, then the emissions reductions and costs associated with measures other than LEV that could fill the shortfall without LEV might be evaluated. First, EPA believes it may be useful to consider the emissions reductions associated with other emission control measures that the Act specifically mandates for areas in the OTR, for example, reformulated gasoline, enhanced inspection and maintenance programs, and Stage II refueling vapor recovery controls. While these measures are not ``alternatives'' because they are mandatory, EPA believes that the amount of reductions they will generate is important in evaluating the magnitude of the shortfall for attainment. Next, EPA believes it may evaluate the emissions reductions associated with other measures that the OTC itself is considering and has agreed to adopt (in addition to the LEV program) or further explore through memoranda of understanding (MOU), including federal reformulated gasoline in areas where it is not mandatory under the Act, a ``second phase'' of NOX emission reductions from stationary sources and an intrastate NOX emission offset trading program. (See OTC MOUs signed October 29, 1991, March 10, 1992, and May 18, 1993.) Another source of measures is the menu of options identified by STAPPA/ALAPCO in a document entitled ``Meeting the 15-Percent Rate-of- Progress Requirement Under the Clean Air Act: A Menu of Options'' (September 1993). Finally, measures identified in the recent FIP proposal for certain areas in California (EPA Air Docket No. A-94-09) could be evaluated. EPA requests comment on measures from these sources and other potential measures for evaluation that could be alternatives to the recommended OTC-LEV program. EPA might evaluate the cost, reasonableness, and other factors associated with these other measures if they are shown, in fact, to be ``alternatives'' to the LEV program. B. Consistency With the Clean Air Act 1. Introduction As noted above, section 184 requires that in reviewing the recommendation of the OTC, EPA must evaluate whether the additional control measures are ``otherwise consistent with this Act.'' In particular, the additional control measures must be consistent with section 177 of the Act, which provides States with the authority to adopt and enforce emission standards for new motor vehicles and engines if such standards are identical to California standards and if the State adopts the standards at least two years before the commencement of the model year to which such standards apply. Also, the State standards must not prohibit the manufacture or sale of California- certified motor vehicles, nor may they create a ``third car.'' In two separate federal court cases, automobile manufacturers have challenged the adoption of the LEV program in two OTC States, New York and Massachusetts (Motor Vehicle Manufacturers Association v. NYDEC, No. 92-CV-869 (N.D.N.Y.) and American Automobile Manufacturers Association v. Greenbaum, No. 93-10799-MA (D. Mass.)). In these cases, manufacturers are contending that the States have violated portions of section 177 by their adoption, or their failure to adopt, certain aspects of California's LEV and clean fuel programs. Many of the issues that have been raised, and to some extent answered, in those cases are likely to be relevant to EPA's decision in this proceeding. Moreover, certain issues related to section 177 that were not raised in those proceedings are likely to be relevant to this proceeding. 2. Clean Air Act Provisions Regarding State Motor Vehicle Emission Standards Section 209(a) of the Clean Air Act generally preempts States from promulgating or attempting to enforce standards relating to the control of emissions from new motor vehicles. However, section 209(b) allows EPA to waive federal preemption for California under certain circumstances. Section 177 allows other States to promulgate standards relating to the control of emissions from new motor vehicles for any model year, and to take other actions otherwise preempted under section 209(a), if-- (1) Such standards are identical to the California standards for which a waiver has been granted for such model year, and (2) California and such State adopt such standards at least two years before commencement of such model year (as determined by regulations of the Administrator). Nothing in this section or in Title II of this Act shall be construed as authorizing any such State to prohibit or limit, directly or indirectly, the manufacture or sale of a new motor vehicle or motor vehicle engine that is certified in California as meeting California standards, or to take any action of any kind to create, or have the effect of creating, a motor vehicle or engine different than a motor vehicle or engine certified in California under California standards (a ``third vehicle'') or otherwise create such a ``third vehicle''. 42 U.S.C. Sec. 7507 3. New York and Massachusetts Litigations New York and Massachusetts have both promulgated regulations incorporating aspects of California's LEV program into their State regulations. Manufacturers have made several challenges under section 177 to the State regulations. In particular, neither New York nor Massachusetts promulgated regulations incorporating California's ``clean fuel'' provisions. However, both New York and Massachusetts incorporated California's ZEV sales mandate into their State regulations. Manufacturers challenged the decisions not to incorporate California's fuel requirements and to incorporate California's ZEV sales mandate, arguing that (1) the clean fuel requirements are an inherent part of California's automobile emission program and thus are subject to the identicality requirement of section 177; (2) the failure to incorporate the clean fuel requirements will require the manufacture of a ``third vehicle'' because the higher sulfur levels in federal fuels may cause problems with certain catalysts and may cause other vehicle problems; (3) the ZEV sales mandate violates section 177's prohibition on indirect State limitations on the sale of California vehicles; and 4) the ZEV sales mandate will require manufacture of a ``third vehicle'' in violation of section 177.\23\ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- \23\Manufacturers also make other challenges related to leadtime that are not likely to be relevant to this proceeding. The OTC recommendation states that the LEV program will be effective on January 1, 1996. This provides States and manufacturers with two years of leadtime required under section 177. However, if the OTC- LEV program does not become effective for any State until after 2 January 1996, then certain leadtime-related issues raised by manufacturers in the above court cases may be relevant in subsequent proceeding. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- In a recent opinion, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit ruled on these issues in the context of the New York regulations, except issue two, which the District Court is still considering. MVMA v. NYDEC, No. 93-7938 (2d Cir., Feb. 9, 1994). In addition, U.S. District Judge Mazzone (D. Mass.) provided a preliminary ruling on issues one and two. AAMA v. Greenbaum, No. 93-10799-MA (October 27, 1993). Manufacturers initially appealed Judge Mazzone's decision to the First Circuit, but have since requested that the appeal be withdrawn with regard to these issues. EPA submitted amicus curiae briefs to the Second Circuit and the First Circuit. (These briefs and the court opinions are in the docket.) On issue one, both courts ruled that State failure to incorporate California's clean fuel provisions did not violate the identicality provision of section 177. The courts ruled that since California's clean fuel provisions were part of California's waiver application under section 209, they are not ``standards * * * for which a waiver has been granted'' and thus are not subject to the identicality provisions of section 177. State fuel provisions are addressed in a separate section of the Act, section 211. EPA's amicus curiae briefs also took this position. Regarding issue two, neither trial court has issued a final determination, both deferring this issue to trial. However, in his decision on manufacturers' motion for preliminary injunction on this count, Judge Mazzone concluded that manufacturers had not shown a likelihood of prevailing. In its amicus curiae brief to the First Circuit, EPA argued that Massachusetts' failure to adopt the clean fuels program did not violate the ``third car'' prohibition because (1) manufacturers could not show that Massachusetts' LEV program compels any design change--manufacturers are free to sell cars in Massachusetts that are identical to California cars; (2) manufacturers' testing-based concerns were not ripe for review; and (3) the term ``third vehicle'' is applied only to design changes necessary to meet certification requirements, not minor changes unrelated to meeting applicable emission standards. On issue three, the Second Circuit found that New York's promulgation of California's ZEV sales mandate did not violate section 177's requirement that States not limit, either directly or indirectly, the sale of California cars. The court found that the ZEV mandate did not prevent manufacturers from selling any California-certified vehicles as long as they also sold the specified percentage of ZEVs. ``Like the third vehicle rule, the sales-limitation rule is designed to reinforce the identicality requirement. It would be incongruous for us to hold that the [State] wrongly mandated a ZEV sales percentage identical to California's mandate.'' EPA had taken this position in its amicus brief. On issue four, the Second Circuit ruled that New York's adoption of the ZEV mandate does not violate the ``third car'' prohibition because New York is administering the mandate in the same manner as California and any changes manufacturers make in their cars to sell them in New York are based on marketing decisions by manufacturers, not a requirement of the State. EPA's amicus brief was consistent with this result. 4. Issues Implicated by the OTC Petition Some of the section 177-related issues briefed in the New York and Massachusetts cases are also implicated by the OTC petition. The OTC recommendation, like the New York and Massachusetts regulations, does not include California's clean fuel provisions. Moreover, the recommendation states: To the extent that a Zero Emission Vehicle sales requirement must be a component of a LEV program adopted under Section 177, such a requirement shall apply. Further, if such a Zero Emission Vehicle sales requirement is not a required component of programs adopted under Section 177, individual States within the OTC may at their option include such a requirement and/or economic incentives designed to increase the sales of ZEVs in the programs they adopt. This provision relates to the same ZEV-related issues argued in the court cases and also produces several section 177-related issues not determined in the court cases. The issue of whether the ZEV sales mandate is a required component in any State LEV program was not addressed by the courts. Section 177 allows a State to adopt and enforce ``for any model year standards relating to control of emissions from new motor vehicles and * * * engines * * * if such standards are identical to the California standards for which a waiver has been granted for such model year.'' The first question presented by this issue is whether the ZEV sales mandate is a ``standard relating to control of emissions.'' In letters sent to New York and Virginia State officials on January 7, 1993, EPA stated that it believed the ZEV sales mandate ``in light of the existence of the NMOG [non-methane organic gases] fleet average requirement (which is a motor vehicle emission standard), the California ZEV sales requirement is not a motor vehicle emission standard. Thus, a State which adopts California motor vehicle emission standards is not required to, but may, adopt this particular provision of California's program. The ZEV sales mandate simply limits the flexibility otherwise accorded manufacturers to choose the mix of vehicles produced to meet the NMOG fleet average requirement.'' The Administrator made this statement based on EPA's belief that the ZEV sales mandate does not, given the existence of the NMOG standard, create any additional requirements that will have any effect on NMOG emissions from light-duty vehicles in California. The ZEV sales mandate does not require that the overall NMOG emissions from California vehicles be any lower than they would have been in the absence of the sales mandate. The amount of emissions produced by such vehicles is controlled by the NMOG fleet average requirement, not the sales mandate. The ZEV mandate merely restricts the manufacturers' choices with regard to the type of vehicle they must produce to meet the NMOG requirement. Therefore, as the ZEV sales mandate does not limit the quantity, rate or concentration of NMOG emissions, EPA stated that the mandate was not an emission standard, but instead was an accompanying enforcement procedure. In its recommendation, the OTC States that the ZEV sales mandate is an accompanying enforcement procedure and is not required by section 177. EPA requests comment on whether the ZEV sales mandate should be considered an emission standards. EPA is also requesting comments regarding whether the ZEV sales mandate will have or is likely to have a clear effect on emissions of NOx and CO, whether such effect is substantial, and whether such a potential effect is relevant to the question of whether the sales mandate is an emission standard. The second question presented by this issue is whether States are required under section 177's identicality provision to promulgate all of California's motor vehicle emission standards for a given model year, or whether only a certain subset of these regulations must be promulgated. Section 177 provides that a State ``may adopt and enforce * * * standards * * * if such standards are identical to the California standards for which a waiver has been granted.'' The statute does not necessarily indicate that if a State adopts one California standard for a year it must adopt all of them. EPA believes that adoption of the California LEV program does not require adoption of the California heavy-duty engine program, which deals with different types of vehicles. However, EPA has not finally determined whether section 177 requires a State to promulgate all California emission standards related to a type of vehicle once a State has determined that it intends to promulgate any California standards related to that type of vehicle. Certainly, where a State intends to incorporate some portion of California's emission standards, the State must promulgate all regulations that are necessary to ensure that California cars are not prohibited from sale in the State and all regulations necessary to prevent the requirement of a third car. Must a State promulgate all California vehicle-based emission standards relevant to a particular type of vehicle? May a State promulgate only those provisions necessary to ensure that the State program receives the emission reductions California receives from its program, or only those provisions that are central parts of the program? May a State promulgate merely those regulations that ensure that its program is as protective of the public health and welfare, in the aggregate, as the federal program? Under this approach, a State would have considerable flexibility to determine which parts of a particular program the State would promulgate, but the State would not be assured of receiving the same SIP credits as California for such a program. In addition, this approach may be inconsistent with section 177's goal of preventing myriad different motor vehicle programs in the several States and also may be inconsistent with the statutory language and the legislative history of section 177. EPA requests comment on this issue. The identicality issue is also implicated by the form of the OTC's initial recommendation to EPA. The OTC recommendation states that it intends the OTC-LEV program to be consistent with section 177 and 184 of the Act. The recommendation also states that the program contains standards identical to the California LEV program. However, rather than directly incorporating California's regulations into its recommendation, or citing to California's regulations, OTC gave a brief overview of the parts of California's LEV program it intended to incorporate and the time frame for the regulations. EPA initially had questions regarding whether the OTC intended to incorporate certain secondary provisions in California's LEV program into the OTC-LEV program (in particular, the hybrid electric vehicle provisions, banking and trading of NMOG credits, the small and intermediate volume manufacturer provisions and reactivity adjustment factors). EPA also had questions regarding whether California's NMOG fleet average requirements were intended to apply to heavier light-duty trucks (3751- 5750 lbs) and whether the OTC intended medium-duty vehicles to be included in the LEV program. EPA requested that the OTC clarify these issues, becuase failure to incorporate certain secondary provisions into the OTC program could conceivably have raised identicality problems. On April 15, 1994 Bruce Carhart of the OTC sent a letter to EPA stating, in part, the following: [The OTC has] recommended regulation of passenger cars and light-duty trucks up to 5750 lbs. loaded vehicle weight, not medium duty vehicles. Our intention is to maintain identicality with California as required by the Clean Air Act. Our recommendation includes a fleet average for both classes of light-duty vehicles (0- 3750 and 3751-5750 lbs.); hybrid electric vehicles, in as far as California has classified and certified such vehicles; banking and trading provisions for purpose of the fleet average; the same extensions and exemptions for intermediate and small manufacturers; and RAFs as necessary for certification by California. Many of the details of the above and any other issues can be worked out through the consultation process as required by section 184 of the Clean Air Act. EPA requests comment on whether there are other concerns regarding the identicality of the OTC-LEV program with the California LEV program. EPA also requests comment on whether EPA can assume that, on provisions on which OTC is silent, OTC means to require all provisions that are necessary to ensure identicality and that such provisions must be adopted. Another issue in this rulemaking is whether the OTC's incorporation of California's NMOG fleet average provisions violates any portion of section 177. In their response to OTC's stated intention to include the NMOG fleet average program in the OTC-LEV program, some manufacturers claimed that the incorporation of the NMOG standard would violate section 177. The OTC found that the NMOG fleet average did not violate section 177 and that States may enforce these standards, consistent with California protocols and testing requirements. EPA believes, for the reasons given by the Second Circuit in the MVMA case in the context of the ZEV sales mandate, that the fleet average requirement does not violate the requirement of section 177 that States shall not prohibit the sale of California cars. In addition, EPA has no evidence contrary to the OTC's determination that the fleet average requirement does not violate the ``third vehicle'' prohibition of section 177. EPA also agrees that States are permitted to enforce this requirement, consistent with California protocols and requirements. EPA believes that the NMOG fleet average requirement is the heart of the California LEV program and is the central mechanism for ensuring reductions from the program, and that any State program implementing the LEV program should, and is probably compelled to, include enforceable NMOG fleet average requirements. EPA requests comment on these issues. EPA also requests comment regarding whether the NMOG fleet average requirement must be met statewide or whether it can be met regionwide. Finally, EPA requests comment on the OTC statement that section 177 does not require a State to adopt the California LEV program in all areas of a State. OTC's statement is consistent with EPA's interpretation of section 177, as illustrated in Administrator Reilly's response to Elizabeth Haskell, Virginia's Secretary of Natural Resources, in which the Administrator noted that adoption of California emission standards in part of a State is consistent with section 177's title, ``New Motor Vehicle Standards in Nonattainment Areas.'' EPA does not at this time have any questions regarding the OTC recommendation's consistency with any other sections of the Clean Air Act. EPA requests comment on whether the recommendation may be inconsistent with any other section of the Act. IV. Statutory Authority Authority for the action described in this notice is in sections 184, 176(a), 110, 307(d) and 301 of the Clean Air Act, as amended, 42 U.S.C. 7511a, 7506a, 7410, 7607(d) and 7601. V. Administrative Designation and Regulatory Analysis Executive Order 12866 Under Executive Order 12866, 58 FR 51735 (October 4, 1993) the Agency must determine whether the regulatory action is ``significant'' and therefore subject to OMB review and the requirements of the Executive Order. The Order defines ``significant regulatory action'' as one that is likely to result in a rule that may: (1) Have an annual effect on the economy of $100 million or more or adversely affect in a material way the economy, a sector of the economy, productivity, competition, jobs, the environment, public health or safety, or State, local, or tribal governments or communities; (2) Create a serious inconsistency or otherwise interfere with an action taken or planned by another agency; (3) Materially alter the budgetary impact of entitlements, grants, user fees, or loan programs or the rights and obligations of recipients thereof; or (4) Raise novel or policy issues arising out of legal mandates, the President's priorities, or the principles set forth in the Executive Order. Pursuant to the terms of the Executive Order, since this action could result in a rule that could have a substantial economic impact, this notice was submitted to OMB for review. EPA intends to prepare an economic analysis under E.O. 12866 for any final rule that is a significant regulatory action. Any written comments to EPA and any written EPA responses to those comments will be included in the docket for this proceeding. VI. Impact on Small Entities The Regulatory Flexibility Act, 5 U.S.C. 601(a), provides that, whenever an agency is required to publish a general notice of rulemaking, it must prepare and make available a regulatory flexibility analysis (RFA). While EPA intends to follow rulemaking procedures under section 307(d) of the Clean Air Act, EPA believes it is not legally required to publish a general notice of rulemaking here, and hence that it need not prepare a RFA. But even if EPA is required to publish a general notice of rulemaking here, a RFA is required only for small entities which are directly regulated by the rule. See Mid-Tex Electric Cooperative, Inc. v. FERC, 773 F.2d 327 (D.C. Cir. 1985)(agency's certification need only consider the rule's impact on regulated entities and not indirect impact on small entities not regulated). The OTC's recommended LEV program would directly regulate auto manufacturers. Since these auto manufacturers generally do not qualify as small businesses within the meaning of the Regulatory Flexibility Act, EPA does not believe a RFA is needed for either the proposed or final rules, even if rulemaking is required. Accordingly, pursuant to 5 U.S.C. 605(b), the Administrator certifies that this rule will not have a significant economic impact on a substantial number of small entities. VII. Paperwork Reduction Act The Paperwork Reduction Act of 1980, 44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq., and implementing regulations, 5 CFR part 1320, do not apply to this action as it does not involve the collection of information as defined therein. Dated: April 19, 1994. Carol M. Browner, Administrator. Appendix--Recommendation of the States of the Ozone Transport Commission of an OTC Low Emission Vehicle Program Under Section 184(c) of the Clean Air Act Whereas, the States composing the Ozone Transport Region (OTR)* are faced with a pervasive ozone nonattainment problem; and Whereas regional ozone modeling to date has shown the need for emission reductions beyond those which will be realized through the strategies specifically included in the Clean Air Act; and Whereas the Clean Air Act, provides the Ozone Transport Commission (OTC) with a mechanism under Section 184(c) to review and recommend additional control measures in all or part of the OTR to control regional ozone; and Whereas motor vehicles, in the aggregate, are the single largest source of ozone precursors within the OTR, and introduction of Low Emission and Zero Emission Vehicles are essential; and Whereas the Clean Air Act also grants States under Section 177 the option of adopting more stringent Low Emission Vehicle (LEV) standards for new motor vehicles; and Whereas based on the technical analysis done by the States of the OTC to date LEVs provide substantial and cost effective emission reductions; and Whereas the OTC under Section 184(c) proposed on November 17, 1993, a regional LEV program, hereafter known as the Ozone Transport Commission Low Emission Vehicle (OTC LEV) program, after having been petitioned by three OTC States to consider developing such a recommendation; and Whereas the OTC provided at that time notice and opportunity for public comment as required by Section 184(c) of the Clean Air Act, including a public hearing in Hartford, Connecticut, on December 16- 17, 1993, and has analyzed and responded to the comments received in the attached Response to Comments: and Whereas the OTC has analyzed the impact and need for LEV in the OTR as documented in the attached Technical Support Document; and *The States of Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and Vermont, the District of Columbia, and the part of Virginia within the Consolidated Metropolitan Statistical Area which includes the District of Columbia. Whereas the OTC received and analyzed an alternative proposal from the automobile manufacturers which, while an improvement over Tier I Federal vehicles, would require programmatic and timing enhancements and the addition of an electric vehicle component to ensure that enforceable vehicle emission reductions comparable to those achieved by the OTC LEV program could be achieved in a more timely manner; and Whereas the OTC expects the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, through the consultation process provided in Section 184(c) of the Clean Air Act, to evaluate alternatives (including the program presented by the automobile manufacturers with enhancements) which are comparable in terms of enforceability, timeliness, and quantity of emission reduction to those achieved by the OTC LEV program, are consistent with the Clean Air Act, and advances technology; Therefore, the Ozone Transport Commission determines that a regional LEV program, the OTC LEV program, is necessary to bring the Ozone Transport Region into attainment by the dates provided in the Clean Air Act; and Furthermore, that by majority vote of the States of the Ozone Transport Commission, as indicated by the attached signature sheet, the Ozone Transport Commission transmits the attached strategy recommendation regarding the OTC LEV program to the Administrator of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; and Furthermore that adoption of this recommendation by the Ozone Transport Commission or approval of this recommendation by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency will not require the adoption of California reformulated gasoline standards by any X within the OTR; and Furthermore that as a part of this submittal, the Ozone Transport Commission includes the attached Response to Comments received during the public's opportunity to comment on this matter, and the attached Technical Support Document which addresses the requirements of Section 184(d) of the Clean Air Act; and Furthermore that the Ozone Transport Commission will participate fully in the consultation process on this recommendation with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency as provided in Section 1184(c)(3) of the Clean Air Act. Text of February 1, 1994, Recommendation of the Ozone Transport Commission to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency The Ozone Transport Commission (OTC) has developed the following recommendation for an Ozone Transport Commission Low Emission Vehicle (OTC LEV) program which is to be submitted to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency under Section 184(c) of the Clean Air Act (CAA). The legal authority for the OTC recommendation is described under Section 184(c)(1) of the Clean Air Act and could result in a Federal requirement for regionwide adoption and enforcement of motor vehicle emission standards available under Section 177 of the Clean Air Act. The recommendation is as follows: Under Section 184(c) of the Clean Air Act as amended in 1990, the Ozone Transport Commission hereby recommends adoption of an Ozone Transport Commission Low Emission Vehicle program including the elements described below for the geographic region designated as the Ozone Transport Region, defined as the States of Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Massachusetts, Maryland, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and Vermont, the District of Columbia and that part of Virginia within the Consolidated Metropolitan Statistical Area which includes the District of Columbia. Adoption of this recommendation by the Ozone Transport Commission or the United States Environmental Protection Agency will not require the adoption of the California Reformulated Gasoline Standards by any State, Commonwealth, or jurisdiction with the Ozone Transport Region. Elements of the Proposed OTC LEV Program Recommendation Pursuant to the requirements of Section 177 of the Clean Air Act, the Ozone Transport Commission Low Emission Vehicle (OTC LEV) program is applicable to all 1999 and subsequent model year passenger cars and light duty trucks (0-557550 pounds loaded vehicle weight) in the Ozone Transport Region (OTR). Emissions Requirements and Prohibition: No corporation, person or other entity shall sell, import, deliver, purchase, lease, rent, acquire, receive, or register a new vehicle subject to the OTC LEV program in the OTR that has not received a California ARB Executive Order, unless the vehicle is sold directly from one dealer to another dealer, sold for purposes of being wrecked or dismantled, sold exclusively for off-highway use or sold for registration out of the OTR, as well as a vehicle purchased by a nonresident prior to establishing residency or a vehicle transfer by inheritance, decree of divorce, dissolution, or legal separation. Other exceptions would include motor vehicles held for daily lease or rental to the general public or engaged in interstate commerce that are registered and principally operated outside the OTR and motor vehicles defined as test vehicles, emergency vehicles, or qualifying for exemption under Section 43656 of the California Health and Safety Code. The OTC LEV program will allow five categories of vehicles: California Tier I Vehicles, Transitional Low Emission Vehicles (TLEV), Low Emission Vehicles (LEV), Ultra-Low Emission Vehicles (ULEV) and Zero Emission Vehicles (ZEV). Manufacturers may choose any combination of vehicles certified to the above standards, to meet a prescribed fleet emission average standard in the OTR. The effective date for the OTC/state implementation of the OTC LEV program is January 1, 1996. This schedule allows for notice to manufacturers of two vehicle model years and requires sales of cleaner vehicles for the 1999 model year. The OTC LEV program does not affect or preclude States from earlier implementation. This program includes a fleet non-methane organic gases emission average as follows: ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Fleet average Model year standard (g/mi) ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1999.......................................................... 0.113 2000.......................................................... .073 2001.......................................................... .070 2002.......................................................... .068 2003 and later................................................ .062 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ To the extent that a Zero Emission Vehicle sales requirement must be a component of a LEV program adopted under section 177, such a requirement shall apply. Further, if such a Zero Emission Vehicle sales requirement is not a required component of programs adopted under section 177, individual States within the OTC may at their option include such a requirement and/or economic incentives designed to increase the sales of ZEVs in the programs they adopt. [FR Doc. 94-10042 Filed 4-25-94; 8:45 am] BILLING CODE 6560-50-P